EU Butter Output Forecast to Fall 1.7% in 2027 Amid Cheese Shift
What happened
The US Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts that European Union butter production will fall 1.7% in 2027, reaching 2.26 million tonnes. This decline is attributed to higher revenues favoring cheese production. The European Dairy Association reported that butter stocks reached a 10-year high in June 2026, following a 9.2% rise in production between January and June 2026.
From thecattlesite.com
Why it matters
The shift in milk allocation toward cheese production is expected to reduce overall butter output. Belgium, Netherlands, Ireland, and Poland are among the EU’s largest butter producers, collectively providing around 75% of EU27 butter production.
From thecattlesite.com
Who's involved
- BelgiumMajor EU butter producer
- NetherlandsMajor EU butter producer
- IrelandMajor EU butter producer
- PolandMajor EU butter producer
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- BelgiumSpeculative
Might see market price or output decline in its core agricultural sector due to the EU butter forecast.
- NetherlandsSpeculative
Might see market price or output decline in its core agricultural sector due to the EU butter forecast.
- IrelandSpeculative
Might see market price or output decline in its core agricultural sector due to the EU butter forecast.
- PolandSpeculative
Might see market price or output decline in its core agricultural sector due to the EU butter forecast.
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The entities involved
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Belgium
country in western Europe
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Netherlands
one of the four autonomous countries of the Kingdom of the Netherlands; with territories in the Caribbean
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Ireland
sovereign state in Northwestern Europe
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Poland
country in Central Europe