- The UK food system is facing challenges due to its reliance on imports and cold chain infrastructure.
- The UK food system is struggling with food security due to its reliance on imports from Europe, amidst the fallout from the Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
AHDB Forecasts 2.2% Drop in UK Milk Production Amid Price Pressure
What happened
The Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) forecasts a 2.2% decline in milk production in Great Britain. This follows the publication of new Defra statistics showing the average UK farmgate milk price reached 38.45p per litre in September 2026, a 4.8% increase from August 2026. However, prices remain 15.6% below September 2025 levels, meaning farmers are receiving around 7p less per litre than a year ago.
From farminguk.com
Why it matters
Despite a recent price recovery, the AHDB warned that the price increases are not supported by stronger wholesale dairy markets. The sustained difference in milk prices creates significant financial pressure on dairy producers, with small changes having major implications for farm revenues.
The UK food system is struggling with food security due to its reliance on imports from Europe, amidst the fallout from the Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
From farminguk.com
Who's involved
- Agriculture and Horticulture Development BoardForecasts production decline and provides market outlook on dairy prices.
- Great BritainThe location where the milk production decline is forecasted.
- EnglandA geopolitical state where regional dairy farm revenues may be affected.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- EnglandSpeculative
Regional dairy farm revenues in England could be affected by market price and production decline.
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The entities involved
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Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board
UK non-departmental public body funded by farmers and growers
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