Deutsche Bank raises SpaceX forecast amid Texas regulatory uncertainty
What happened
Elon Musk stated that SpaceX revenue would decrease if computing power became plentiful and cheap. Two days later, Deutsche Bank raised its 2028 forecast for SpaceX by $18 billion, based on the view that computing power will remain scarce. Separately, Gina Hinojosa pledged to halt new data-center approvals in Texas until the legislature establishes protections for water and electricity costs.
From 247wallst.com
Why it matters
The differing views on compute scarcity—Musk's warning versus Deutsche Bank's forecast—highlight market uncertainty in the AI sector. Meanwhile, the regulatory pressure from Gina Hinojosa is expected to slow data center construction, particularly in 2028, according to Deutsche Bank.
From 247wallst.com
Who's involved
- SpaceXAmerican private aerospace company whose 2028 forecast was raised.
- Deutsche BankGerman global banking company that raised its 2028 forecast for SpaceX.
- Gina HinojosaPolitician who pledged to halt new data-center approvals in Texas.
- Elon MuskBusinessman who warned that SpaceX revenue could drop if compute becomes cheap.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- AnthropicSpeculative
Anthropic might face limited compute capacity and higher costs due to regulatory slowdowns.
Keep exploring
The entities involved
-
SpaceX
American private aerospace company
-
Deutsche Bank
German global banking and financial services company
- Banks like Mizuho, Deutsche Bank, and Goldman Sachs maintained or raised ratings for Harmony Biosciences, citing benefits from tariffs and onshoring trends for AI stocks.
- BT Group stock is traded on the London Stock Exchange, with Berenberg Bank reiterating a buy rating and Deutsche Bank reiterating a sell rating.
-
Gina Hinojosa
American lawyer and politician, Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives
-
Elon Musk
businessman and entrepreneur (born 1971)
Related events
- SpaceX rents computing capacity to Google and plans a power plant in Texas.
- SpaceX filed with the FCC regarding its satellite constellation, while Google utilized AI chips potentially from Nvidia, and Jeff Bezos explored orbital computing.
- Deutsche Bank noted SpaceX facing incremental headwinds as Texas election results confirmed Hinojosa and Talarico victories.
- SpaceX is expanding its operational base in Texas while deepening partnerships with major tech companies like Intel, Nvidia, Tesla, and Google.
- Musk moved Tesla and SpaceX operations to Texas, while Gina Hinojosa opposed the sale of a state park to SpaceX.