S&P 500 Performance Linked to Trade War and Political Cycles
- Reports
- 2
- Developments
- 1
- Repetition
- 50%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
As of September 30, the S&P 500 Index had increased 30.6% since Donald Trump took office the second time. This compares to 28.5% during the first 20 months of his first term. notes that the trade war with China caused the S&P 500 to lose 5.2% in 2018.
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Why it matters
The reports highlight that midterm election years are historically poor for stocks, though the market is currently bucking that trend. The trade war with China has been cited as a factor in past stock losses.
The House and Senate are involved in passing a bill that is championed by Donald Trump within Congress.
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Who's involved
- Donald TrumpPresident of the United States
- HouseLegislative body involved in passing bills
- senateLegislative body involved in passing bills
- ChinaNation involved in a trade war cited in market analysis
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- FEDSpeculative
Market stability and trade war impacts might affect the FED's regulatory mandate and operational environment.
- senateSpeculative
The Senate might face changes in legislative focus due to the impact of the trade war on financial markets.
- ChinaSpeculative
Chinese markets could be impacted by the trade war with the United States.
Possible ripples
Who this could reach next, traced step by step from the reporting. Possibilities worth considering, not forecasts.Keep exploring
Part of
The legislative bodies, including the House and Senate, are involved in passing a bill, which is championed by Donald Trump within Congress, with NBC News reporting on the Senate vote.Also in this story
- Prediction market tracks control of both chambers.
- Congress is now seeking to limit Trump's tariff authority, with critics like Hoyer pointing to his sympathy toward Moscow.
- President Donald Trump signed a bill extending tax deductions on September 14, 2026.
- Trump used executive power to fund the government while lawmakers in Congress, including the House, were active.
The entities involved
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Donald Trump
American businessman and politician (born 1946), President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)
- House
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senate
type of legislative body, often the upper house or chamber of a bicameral legislature