EBRD forecasts sharp economic contraction in Iraq and Lebanon
- Reports
- 3
- Developments
- 1
- Repetition
- 67%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development projects slowing growth across several emerging markets, citing war effects, high energy prices, and rising borrowing costs. The bank expects Iraq's economy to contract by 12% and Lebanon's economy to contract by 5%.
From aawsat.com
Why it matters
The projections highlight significant downside risks in the region, driven by specific geopolitical events. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is cited as curbing oil exports in Iraq, while conflict with Israel is weighing on economic activity in Lebanon.
From aawsat.com
Who's involved
- European Bank for Reconstruction and DevelopmentIssued the regional economic outlook forecasting contraction in several nations.
- LebanonExpected to contract 5% due to ongoing conflict with Israel.
- IraqExpected to contract by 12% after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz curbed oil exports.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- IraqSpeculative
Could see reduced revenue for oil and gas companies due to the 12% economic contraction forecast and reduced oil exports.
- LebanonSpeculative
Might face reduced sales and demand due to the ongoing conflict with Israel.
- ConocoPhillipsSpeculative
Might see reduced revenue in Iraq due to the 12% contraction forecast and reduced oil exports.
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The entities involved
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Lebanon
country in West Asia
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Iraq
sovereign state in Western Asia
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European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
international investment bank