El Nino Drives Down Sugar Production Forecasts Amid Low Rainfall in India
- Reports
- 11
- Developments
- 8
- Repetition
- 45%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
El Nino has led to depressed rainfall and low reservoir storage in several Indian states, including Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, and Kerala. Estimates project gross sugar production for the 2026-27 season at around 270 lakh tonne, which is 15 per cent lower year-on-year.
Why it matters
Deficient monsoon conditions across rain-fed tracts, compounded by El Nino stress, are concentrating damage in Maharashtra and North Karnataka. Production losses are estimated at 22 per cent in Maharashtra and 26 per cent in North Karnataka.
The Reserve Bank of India monitors macroeconomic fundamentals, noting that El Nino poses downside risks to agricultural output.
Who's involved
- El NinoClimate pattern causing adverse weather and monsoon disruption
- KarnatakaIndian state experiencing rainfall deficits and drought
- MaharashtraState facing production loss due to deficient monsoon stress
- Andhra PradeshState experiencing severe rainfall deficiency and water stress
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- North KarnatakaSpeculative
Could face reduced revenue from crop sales due to deficient monsoon and El Nino stress
- MaharashtraSpeculative
Might see increased operational costs related to managing production losses due to deficient monsoon stress
- Andhra PradeshSpeculative
May require farmers to switch to alternative crops, potentially affecting local agricultural demand
Possible ripples
Who this could reach next, traced step by step from the reporting. Possibilities worth considering, not forecasts.- El Nino's rainfall deficits may force central government to increase pulse importsCentral government may need to increase pulse imports amid El Nino's rainfall deficitsLikely
- El Nino's low rainfall threatens India's agricultural outputThe Reserve Bank of India must monitor downside risks to agricultural output from El NinoPossible
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.ISMA estimates sugar supply outlook amid El Nino-related monsoon stress in North Karnataka and Maharashtra.1 source
El Nino impacts rainfall patterns in the Nilgiris.1 source
- Severe rainfall deficiency and water stress caused by El Niño in Andhra Pradesh.Sub-event
- Severe drought in Karnataka due to El Niño, leading to calls to raise the dam height at Almatti Dam.Sub-event
Low rainfall across multiple Indian states due to El Nino effects.1 source
El Nino emergence caused monsoon failure and low rainfall in South India.1 source
El Nino linked to depressed rainfall and low reservoir levels across multiple Indian states.1 source
El Nino conditions led to below-normal rainfall across India.1 source
Keep exploring
Part of
The Reserve Bank of India monitors macroeconomic fundamentals, noting that El Nino poses downside risks to agricultural output.Also in this story
- Climate patterns linked to El Nino are causing extreme weather conditions, impacting Maharashtra's agriculture.
- Experts provided assessments on agricultural resilience and forecasted monsoon conditions for India.
- El Nino conditions are likely to develop during the southwest monsoon season.
The entities involved
- El Nino
-
Karnataka
Indian state
- India
-
South India
geographic region in India
Related events
- CM Reddy cited Vijay Deverakonda's appeal as El Nino causes monsoon shortfall and reservoir drying in Telangana.
- El Nino is causing droughts and disrupted monsoons across Indonesia, the Amazon, India, and Australia, and is linked to fossil fuel climate change.
- El Nino conditions caused deficient rainfall in Khammam on October 17, 2026.
- Prolonged drought fueled by El Nino is affecting Malaysia.
- El Niño is causing severe droughts, heat waves, torrential rains, and flooding across Central America.