- War and weather issues are driving up energy costs, inflation, and affecting agricultural supply.
- War and harvest failures are driving up energy and food prices, threatening harvests in Africa and South America.
Global Conflicts and El Niño Threaten Food and Fuel Supply in South Africa
What happened
Geopolitical conflicts, including the war between Russia and Ukraine and the war between the United States and Iran, have impacted global fuel costs and access to quality seeds and fertilizer. A strong El Niño warning is compounding these global supply chain risks. These factors, alongside climate shocks, affect resilient food production in South Africa.
From dailymaverick.co.za
Why it matters
The disruption of fuel supply chains and spikes in global oil prices directly affect food supply chains. This situation, combined with climate shocks, drives up energy and food prices, threatening agricultural supply and food security in South Africa.
War and harvest failures are currently driving up energy and food prices, which threatens harvests across Africa and South America.
From dailymaverick.co.za
Who's involved
- South AfricaThe country facing impacts from global supply chain risks and climate shocks.
- El NiñoThe climate pattern consistently observed to cause drought and agricultural impacts in South Africa.
- agricultureThe sector affected by restricted seed/fertilizer access and climate threats.
- ShopriteA major food retailer potentially affected by food price inflation.
- South African Weather ServiceThe meteorological service monitoring climate risk changes due to El Niño.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- EskomSpeculative
Eskom might see increased operational and logistics costs due to global fuel cost spikes.
- ShopriteSpeculative
Shoprite might face increased retail costs and changes in consumer demand due to food price inflation.
- South AfricaSpeculative
South Africa might experience increased food price inflation and threats to food security.
Keep exploring
The entities involved
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South Africa
country in southern Africa
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El Niño
Spanish rap artist
Related events
- El Niño is driving up soft commodity prices, while the ongoing Iran war strains fertilizer supply chains and climate scientists contribute to IPCC reports.
- Food insecurity is rising due to the confluence of El Niño, agricultural threats in India, and disruptions caused by wildfires in Indonesia and the war in Iran.
- Saudi Arabia faces security threats from Iran-backed Houthis while the UN prepares for a climate conference amid El Niño concerns.