- Escalating military tensions and attacks in the Strait of Hormuz
- Conflict in the Middle East has led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, causing vital energy, food, and fertilizer flows to be disrupted, leading to inflationary pressures.
- The international community, including the FAO, has organized a special event in Rome to address the geopolitical fragility caused by the Middle East conflict and resulting supply chain disruptions.
IFPRI Analysis Links El Niño and Middle East Conflict to Market Disruptions
What happened
The International Food Policy Research Institute conducted an analysis linking the intensifying El Niño climate pattern and the Middle East conflict to market disruptions. This research was presented during a Committee on World Food Security event in Rome, where leaders announced the Intentional Data Community for Food and Nutrition Security (IDC) initiative. The analysis noted that disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, combined with El Niño, are adding risk to food, fuel, and fertilizer markets.
Why it matters
The Middle East conflict has led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting vital flows of energy, food, and fertilizer and contributing to inflationary pressures. The analysis underscores the need for reliable early warning mechanisms as funding for food and nutrition security data systems declines while climate and conflict shocks increase pressure on vulnerable communities.
The international community is addressing the geopolitical fragility caused by the Middle East conflict and resulting supply chain disruptions.
Who's involved
- International Food Policy Research InstituteConducted the analysis linking climate and conflict to market disruptions.
- Middle EastGeopolitical region whose conflict has caused supply chain disruptions.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- agricultureSpeculative
Agriculture might face increased input costs and reduced yields due to fertilizer supply chain disruptions and climate shocks.
- SudanSpeculative
Sudan could face severe impacts on food security and costs due to combined climate and supply shocks driving up global food prices.
Keep exploring
The entities involved
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International Food Policy Research Institute
Organization
Nothing else this week.
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Middle East
geopolitical region encompassing Egypt and most of Western Asia, including Iran
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El Niño
Spanish rap artist