High Crude Oil and El Niño Pressure Indian Inflation
- Reports
- 21
- Developments
- 1
- Repetition
- 95%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
Retail inflation in India remained broadly in line with the Reserve Bank of India's expectations in September, according to Piramal Finance Chief Economist Debopam Chaudhuri. However, severe weather conditions and elevated global crude oil prices could keep food and fuel inflation high for longer. Chaudhuri warned that El Niño, which he described as one of the most serious since the 1980s, could affect kharif crop production and rabi sowing, potentially keeping food prices elevated.
From aninews.in
Why it matters
Persistently high international crude oil prices are increasing India's import costs and adding to imported inflationary pressures. While the latest inflation figures did not show a sharp rise, the combination of high oil costs and weather-related crop uncertainty could put further pressure on the economy in the coming months.
From aninews.in
Who's involved
- Reserve Bank of IndiaCentral bank monitoring retail inflation and expected to stay on course
- El NiñoClimate phenomenon potentially affecting crop yields and driving food price inflation
- IndiaThe economy whose inflation and import costs are being monitored
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- Indian Oil CorporationSpeculative
Indian Oil Corporation might see increased operational costs and fuel procurement expenses due to high crude oil prices
- State Bank of IndiaSpeculative
State Bank of India might face increased credit risk and operational costs due to rising inflation
Possible ripples
Who this could reach next, traced step by step from the reporting. Possibilities worth considering, not forecasts.- High crude oil prices may increase Indian Oil Corporation's operational costsIndian Oil Corporation may face increased operational costs from high crude oil pricesLikely
- State Bank of India may face higher credit risk from inflationRising inflation may increase credit risk and operational costs for State Bank of IndiaPossible
- Rising inflation may prompt CRISIL to adjust credit ratingsRising inflation and economic uncertainty may prompt CRISIL to adjust credit ratingsPossible
- Inflationary pressures may put pressure on the Indian RupeeRising import costs and inflation could put pressure on the Indian Rupee's valuePossible
- El Niño weather may disrupt crop production and raise input costs for agricultureEl Niño weather may disrupt crop production and raise input costs for agriculturePossible
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The entities involved
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Reserve Bank of India
central bank of India
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El Niño
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Related events
- RBI tightens policy amid inflationary pressures, while S&P Global Ratings upgrades India's growth forecast, influenced by El Nino.
- RBI monitors challenges from crude oil prices and concerns over inflation and slowing growth.
- Maybank provided inflation forecasts for Singapore, noting that El Niño and Gulf War costs are driving up food prices.
- The Reserve Bank of India's actions, including rate cuts, are being influenced by global economic pressures stemming from the West Asia conflict and the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture.
- El Niño is impacting global markets, leading to food commodity price volatility due to weather patterns, geopolitical conflicts, and trade policy uncertainties.
Coverage
Newest first; wire copies grouped20 more outlets ran the same wire story
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