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ING analysis links French bond yield gap to euro sensitivity

1 report, 1 independent Updated Oct 1
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What happened

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An ING FX strategist noted that French bond market pressure could make the euro more responsive to sovereign-risk concerns if the 10-year yield gap with Germany approaches 200 basis points. The OAT-Bund spread stood at 174 basis points at close, having previously reached 178 basis points. The OAT-BTP gap was reported at 50 basis points.

From econotimes.com

Why it matters

Some supportBrind's analysis of the reports

The analysis suggests that if the yield spread widens significantly, the euro could become more sensitive to sovereign risk. While ING saw no clear deterioration in France's fiscal or political conditions, it presented market shifts and the possibility of social unrest as possible contributors to the spread movement.

From econotimes.com

Who's involved

  • ING GroupProvided market analysis regarding yield gaps and euro sensitivity
  • euroIs the currency whose sensitivity to sovereign risk is being discussed
  • European Central BankIs a central bank whose monetary policy mandate could be pressured by increased sovereign risk

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The entities involved

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