Super-El Niño Projected to Cause Up to 451,000 Excess Heat Deaths Globally
What happened
Researchers reported that extreme heat resulting from the super-El Niño cycle could lead to as many as 451,000 excess deaths worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027. The report noted that the number of extremely hot days is likely to increase by 44% compared to normal years. Nigeria is projected to suffer the most heat-related fatalities, followed by Indonesia and Sudan.
From philstar.com
Why it matters
The projected increase in heat-related mortality highlights the severe climate risks facing vulnerable regions. The findings suggest that emergency response efforts should be directed toward high-priority areas to mitigate the impact of the extreme temperatures.
From philstar.com
Who's involved
- Michael GreenstoneAmerican economist who provides advisory input regarding emergency responses
- Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs ResearchResearch center involved in the study of climate impacts
- SahelRegion in Africa projected to suffer additional deaths due to heat
- Associated PressMultinational nonprofit news agency that published the findings
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- SahelSpeculative
The Sahel region might face increased public health costs and reduced labor supply due to extreme heat.
The research center might see increased demand for climate risk consulting and emergency planning services.
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The entities involved
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Michael Greenstone
American economist
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