- El Niño conditions are influencing global weather patterns, specifically affecting the outlook for the upcoming hurricane season in both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.
- NOAA predicts the outlook for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season activity levels.
Atlantic Hurricane Season Update: Calm Amid El Niño Influence
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What happened
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is experiencing a rare lull, as none of the six named storms formed so far have reached hurricane status as of September 21. The current sixth named storm, Tropical Storm Fay, is located southwest of the Azores and is expected to dissipate by the end of the week without reaching land. This calm is attributed to powerful El Niño conditions and record wind shear.
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Why it matters
The current pattern is highly unusual, as the first hurricane typically forms between early and mid-August in an average season. The current lull is compared to the calmest season on record in 1914, when the Atlantic produced only one tropical storm and no hurricanes.
NOAA provides outlooks for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season activity levels, noting that El Niño conditions are influencing global weather patterns.
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Who's involved
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The entities involved
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
agency in the United States Federal Government
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El Niño
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Related events
- El Niño is influencing hurricane activity and weather patterns in Florida and Louisiana.
- Forecasters are monitoring cyclone formation offshore Mexico, noting warm El Niño waters may lead to an above-normal tropical season.
- NOAA reports on the current intensity of El Niño and how the phenomenon is causing the global jet stream to shift further south.
- NOAA is monitoring the El Niño event, noting that strong signals are currently underway.
- NOAA announced the formation of El Niño, which is expected to influence global atmospheric circulation and weather patterns.