Illinois May Prosecute Election Betting as Felony, Raising Regulatory Risk
What happened
Gambling is expanding in the United States, and prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are now being used for trading on political events and elections. Illinois is one of only two states, alongside Nebraska, that may prosecute election betting as a felony. In 2024, over $1.4 million was wagered on the outcome of a Congressional District vote involving Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
Why it matters
The rise of prediction markets for political outcomes, combined with the potential for felony prosecution in Illinois, introduces significant regulatory risk to the gambling industry. This situation highlights the growing market activity in election betting platforms.
Who's involved
- IllinoisState where election betting may be prosecuted as a felony
- Donald TrumpCandidate whose election outcomes have been wagered upon
- Kamala HarrisCandidate whose election outcomes have been wagered upon
- Dan OsbornCandidate whose election outcomes have been wagered upon
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The entities involved
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Illinois
state of the United States of America
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Dan Osborn
American labor union leader (born 1975)
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Donald Trump
American businessman and politician (born 1946), President of the United States (2017–2021; since 2025)
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Kamala Harris
Vice President of the United States from 2021 to 2025