Projections of Increased Heat-Related Mortality in Western Australia and New South Wales
What happened
Research projections indicate that the 2026-27 summer could see 260 additional heat-related deaths, driven by a 'super' El Niño pushing temperatures 1.2 degrees Celsius above normal. In Australia, the projected toll breaks down with New South Wales accounting for 120 fatalities and Western Australia accounting for 72. Both states together account for over 70% of Australia’s projected heat deaths.
Why it matters
These projections are made against a backdrop of high operational risk in key industries. Both New South Wales and Western Australia have high concentrations of workers in sectors such as mining, construction, agriculture, and transport, all of which face significant outdoor exposure.
Who's involved
- Western AustraliaState facing increased heat-related risk and high industry concentration.
- New South WalesState facing increased heat-related risk and high industry concentration.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- Western AustraliaSpeculative
Increased heat-related risk could drive up insurance costs and regulatory compliance burdens for businesses operating in the state.
- New South WalesSpeculative
Increased heat-related risk could drive up insurance costs and regulatory compliance burdens for businesses operating in the state.
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The entities involved
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Western Australia
state of Australia
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New South Wales
state of Australia