- El Niño's impact on Southeast Asian fires, drought, and typhoons
- El Niño is affecting the wider Asia-Pacific region, impacting the Philippines, and being monitored by the World Meteorological Organization.
PSA projects 15% palay production decline in Philippines due to El Niño
- Reports
- 2
- Developments
- 2
- Repetition
- 0%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
The Philippine Statistics Authority projected that palay production in the Philippines would decline by 15 percent, reaching around 3.9 million metric tons in the third quarter of this year. The PSA attributed this decline to the onset of El Niño, though the report noted this projection lacked plausibility given recent heavy monsoon rains. A severe El Niño is predicted to affect the country from late 2026 through April 2027.
From manilatimes.net
Why it matters
The anticipated production shortfall, combined with rising fertilizer and fuel prices resulting from the Middle East war, is expected to cause a serious supply shortage. This situation threatens national food security and could drive food price inflation in the Philippines.
El Niño is affecting the wider Asia-Pacific region, causing prolonged heatwaves and low rainfall in Southeast Asia and impacting global supply chains.
From manilatimes.net
Who's involved
- El NiñoClimate phenomenon cited as the cause of the projected production decline.
- PhilippinesThe country where the palay production decline is projected.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- RICESpeculative
RICE might face a severe supply shock and price risk due to the predicted palay production decline.
- Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasSpeculative
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas could face pressure on monetary policy as the rice shortfall drives food price inflation.
- PhilippinesSpeculative
The Philippines may face threats to national food security and inflation from the climate-driven supply shock.
- ThailandSpeculative
Thailand might see changes in market access for its products due to import restrictions in the Philippines.
- VietnamSpeculative
Vietnam might see changes in market access for its products due to import restrictions in the Philippines.
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.Agricultural output declined 5% as farmers prepare for El Niño amid rising fuel/fertilizer prices due to war.1 source
PSA links production decline in the Philippines to El Niño.1 source
Keep exploring
Part of
El Niño is affecting the wider Asia-Pacific region, impacting the Philippines, and being monitored by the World Meteorological Organization.Also in this story
- ASEAN and Teodoro chair a meeting in Cebu City to address the threat of Super El Niño to regional food and energy security.
- El Niño peak tested Macau’s drainage capacity on August 1, 2026.
- El Niño is affecting hydropower operations in the region involving Luzon and Mindanao.
- Storms are battering coastal regions of China and moving across the Philippines, driven by the El Niño pattern.
Within El Niño's impact on Southeast Asian fires, drought, and typhoons
The entities involved
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El Niño
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Related events
- El Niño is affecting weather patterns in Luzon, which is being monitored by PAGASA.
- Climate event strains domestic food production capacity while the central bank raises rates to combat inflation in the Philippines.
- S&P reported that hot weather linked to El Niño weighed on the Philippines' manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).
- El Niño is causing rainfall to be lower than normal in Luzon.
- El Niño is threatening rice yields and causing drought and flooding in the Philippines.