Regional tensions are rising in the Horn of Africa, with discussions suggesting that regaining Red Sea access could unify the region, while also facing accusations of aggression related to the Tigray war.

The entities involved

• Ethiopia →

  country in the Horn of Africa

  • Geopolitical tensions in the Horn of Africa escalate as Ethiopia faces proxy wars fueled by external actors like Iran, UAE, Ankara, and Doha, with Egypt also involved.20:05
  • Netanyahu unveiled a new security doctrine map showing Ethiopia aligning with Israel and UAE.20:05
• Red Sea →

  state in Sudan

  • The crisis escalates as Houthis take Mokha port, threatening Red Sea traffic, while Saudi Arabia warns Iran to de-escalate.13:29
  • Houthi militia targeted commercial vessels in the Red Sea, while Yemeni ports remained open for commercial traffic.09:20
• Tigray war →

  civil conflict that began in November 2020 in the Tigray Region of Ethiopia

  Nothing else this week.

• Eritrea →

  country in the Horn of Africa

  • Global markets track inflation while Lula and Bolsonaro's elections steer Brazil's economy, alongside risks in Ethiopia/Eritrea and Mali.12:05
  • Ethiopia accuses Eritrea of sending troops across the border, leading to Ethiopian military vehicles entering Adigrat city.Sun 15:09

Related events

• Sudan faces multiple crises, including internal clashes in Blue Nile and North Kordofan, severe flooding, and displacement into Ethiopia, while Red Sea access is disrupted.Aug 19
• Eritrean forces crossed Ethiopia's border, while Eritrea simultaneously seeks control of the strategic Red Sea port of Assab.Tue 06:23
• Coordination on security in the Horn of Africa is underway, driven by the GERD dispute and the integration of the Red Sea into Egypt's security concerns.Jul 21
• Ethiopia and Egypt are currently in disagreement regarding the governance of the Nile River and the Red Sea.Oct 5
• Ethiopia is actively seeking reliable maritime access to the Red Sea, exploring options through Djibouti and Somaliland, with international backing and regional pushback.Sep 12