Middle East Conflict Drives Oil Prices, Prompting RBA Rate Hike Consideration
- Reports
- 18
- Developments
- 7
- Repetition
- 72%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
Unemployment in Australia rose to 4.6% in August, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, marking its highest rate since the pandemic. Amid this, the Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to raise the cash rate from 4.35% to 4.6% next Tuesday. This expectation follows renewed hostilities in the Middle East, which have driven up oil prices.
From theguardian.com, sbs.com.au
Why it matters
The conflict in the Middle East is acting as an external shock, driving up fuel costs and contributing to inflation. This pressure, combined with labor market changes, is prompting the Reserve Bank of Australia to consider higher interest rates to manage persistent inflation.
The conflict is impacting global travel and commodity prices, leading job market information to inform central bank policy decisions.
From theguardian.com, sbs.com.au
Who's involved
- Middle EastGeopolitical region whose hostilities are driving up oil prices and market volatility.
- RBAThe central bank of Australia that is considering interest rate hikes.
- Australian Bureau of StatisticsThe federal statistics agency providing official labor market and economic figures.
- Michele BullockThe Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, guiding monetary policy.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- Australian Bureau of StatisticsSpeculative
The Australian Bureau of Statistics might see changes in employment and consumer spending patterns due to rising costs.
- Reserve Bank of AustraliaSpeculative
The Reserve Bank of Australia might adjust its interest rates to counter inflation driven by geopolitical risk.
- inflationSpeculative
Inflation might rise further due to supply shocks caused by the Middle East geopolitical risk.
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.Unemployment rose to 4.6% as war fuels inflation pressure in Australia.1 source
Allen commented on RBA's expected rate hikes driven by Middle East conflict.1 source
- RBA Governor Michele Bullock discusses Australian inflation and petrol prices amid the impact of the Middle East conflict and potential Qantas ground crew strikes.Sub-event
IMF advises Australian governments to cut spending amid global oil price hikes.1 source
- Rising prices are fueling inflation worries, prompting the RBA to consider higher interest rates amid threats to Gulf energy infrastructure.Sub-event
Australian inflation is being driven by government spending, adding risk to economic stability.1 source
Renewed Middle East conflict drives up oil prices, prompting RBA to consider rate hikes based on Australian labor market data.1 source
Keep exploring
The entities involved
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Middle East
geopolitical region encompassing Egypt and most of Western Asia, including Iran
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RBA
Spanish media enterprise
- The Reserve Bank of Australia is managing monetary policy while assessing how geopolitical risks in the Middle East, including conflict status and oil flow, affect the outlook for inflation and the potential benefits of a peace deal.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia and the European Central Bank are facing global economic pressures. Data released on May 27 showed that CPI rose 0.4% in April.
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Australian Bureau of Statistics
federal statistics and census agency of the Australian Government
Related events
- CPI data forces major rethink on rate hikes due to conflict impacts on prices and inflation rates.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia is assessing the economic effects of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
- Inflation woes are spreading across sectors as the conflict curbed oil flow through the Red Sea region, hitting downstream fuel prices.
- The Reserve Bank of New Zealand makes interest rate decisions influenced by the Middle East conflict driving up global oil prices.
- Westpac is providing key inflation trend data to the RBA, influenced by the widening impact of the Iran conflict on the broader Australian economy.
Coverage
Newest first; wire copies grouped- theguardian.com
- brokernews.com.au
- theguardian.com
- aol.com
- theconversation.com
- dailyforex.com
- abc.net.au
- sbs.com.au
- perthnow.com.auSurprise jobs jump gives RBA room to raise rates
- bluemountainsgazette.com.auRate watchers eye inflation data and RBA chief's speech
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- thailand-business-news.com