Extreme El Niño Predicted to Impact Climate and Agriculture in Bangladesh and Indonesia
What happened
AKM Saiful, Director of the BUET Institute of Water and Flood Management, predicts the coming El Niño could rank as one of the strongest in 150 years. The World Meteorological Organization forecasts that the event could see equatorial Pacific temperatures rise up to 3.6 degrees Celsius above normal. This climate phenomenon is expected to shift warm water toward Indonesia and affect Bangladesh.
From bdnews24.com
Why it matters
The extreme El Niño could cause varied climate impacts in Bangladesh, including prolonged dry spells, failed crops, and unexpected flooding. This climate pattern change could strain water supplies and affect agriculture across the region.
Food insecurity is currently rising due to the combination of El Niño, agricultural threats in India, and disruptions from wildfires in Indonesia and the war in Iran.
From bdnews24.com
Who's involved
- SaifulExpert who forecasts the extreme El Niño event
- IndonesiaIsland country in Southeast Asia affected by warm water shifts
- BangladeshCountry in South Asia facing potential climate impacts
- agricultureThe cultivation of plants and animals affected by climate shifts
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- BangladeshSpeculative
Could face crop failure and water supply strain due to altered rainfall and temperature.
- agricultureSpeculative
Might see reduced agricultural output due to climate shifts and failed crops.
- National Food AgencySpeculative
May face strained food security mandates due to climate pattern change impacts on agricultural output.
- Bangladesh BankSpeculative
Could experience increased financial volatility and disaster costs related to extreme climate risk.
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The entities involved
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Indonesia
island country in Southeast Asia and Oceania
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Bangladesh
country in South Asia
Related events
- El Niño contributes to delayed monsoons and irregular rainfall in Bangladesh.
- El Nino is causing droughts and disrupted monsoons across Indonesia, the Amazon, India, and Australia, and is linked to fossil fuel climate change.
- El Niño causes Indonesia to become drier and Peru to receive heavier rain, extending weather risks for international trade.
- El Niño is causing impacts ranging from drought in the Amazon to increased wildfire risk in Indonesia, monitored by researchers like Mat Collins at the University of Exeter.
- El Niño drives heat waves and drought risk, with Pacific Ocean conditions affecting global weather patterns across regions including California, Colorado, and the Indian Ocean.