El Niño and Monsoon Deficit Weigh on Indian Kharif Crop Season
The latest in this situation
How it started
What happened
Strengthening El Niño conditions and a delayed southwest monsoon have negatively impacted India's kharif crop season. As of June 12, kharif sowing stood at 8.5 million hectares, which is 3.9% lower than the previous year. Reports indicate that the monsoon may end in more than 10% deficit, given the prevailing El Niño conditions.
Why it matters
The deficient rainfall has caused sharp declines in sowing for key crops, particularly pulses, which contracted 43.2% year-on-year. These weather-related risks are weighing on the agricultural sector across major agrarian states.
From indiagazette.com
Who's involved
- GujaratState experiencing deficient rainfall and crop impact
- Madhya PradeshState experiencing deficient rainfall and crop impact
- MaharashtraState experiencing deficient rainfall and crop impact
- agricultureThe sector facing headwinds due to deficient rainfall and lower sowing
- instituteOrganizational body involved in studying El Niño's impact
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- agricultureSpeculative
The agricultural sector might face reduced crop yields and supply due to deficient rainfall and lower sowing of key crops.
- IndiaSpeculative
India's supply chain might face pressure from weakened core agricultural output.
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.- Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan are seeking water from Maharashtra and each other due to El Niño-induced shortages.Sub-event
- ICAR discussed the impact of El Niño on Indian wheat sowing, specifically mentioning Bihar.Sub-event
- A monsoon depression is currently impacting Gujarat and Maharashtra, bringing heavy rainfall to both states on July 30, 2026.Sub-event
- ICAR and related bodies are collaborating on contingency plans due to El Nino's impact on monsoon and crop yields in Gujarat.Sub-event
El Nino conditions are negatively impacting crops in several major Indian agrarian states.1 source
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The entities involved
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Gujarat
state of India
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Bihar
state in eastern India
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Madhya Pradesh
state in central India
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Maharashtra
state in the western and central peninsular region of India
Related events
- State coordinates efforts in Maharashtra in anticipation of El Niño's potential impact.
- Central states, including Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, and Uttar Pradesh, are facing high climate vulnerability and agrarian distress, prompting a warning from the World Bank regarding severe economic impacts on India.