Strong El Nino Ends Southeast Asian Rainy Season Early, Raising Weather Concerns
What happened
Strong El Nino conditions have caused the region's rainy season to end early this year. Forecasts indicate that total rainfall in November will be around or below the long-term average, with only seven to 15 rainy days expected. Average temperatures are predicted to be 0.5-1.3 degrees Celsius above the long-term average, with some days reaching 34 to 36 degrees Celsius.
From news.tuoitre.vn
Why it matters
The early end of the rainy season, combined with strong El Nino, raises concerns about a potentially challenging dry season. Adverse weather, including strong northeasterly monsoon surges, could pose risks to vessels operating at sea and impact regional agricultural output.
El Nino is currently causing prolonged heatwaves and low rainfall in Southeast Asia, which is impacting global supply chains and weather patterns worldwide.
From news.tuoitre.vn
Who's involved
- VietnamA country in Southeast Asia affected by the changing weather patterns.
- El NinoThe major climate driver causing the early end of the rainy season.
- ChinaA mainland nation whose cold air masses are moving southward into the region.
- Southeast AsiaThe south-eastern region of Asia experiencing the early end of the rainy season.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- Southeast AsiaSpeculative
Regional weather patterns might threaten agricultural output and maritime shipping stability.
- NikeSpeculative
Weather changes could increase operational risk and supply chain disruption for Nike's manufacturing hub in Vietnam.
- Association of Southeast Asian NationsSpeculative
Regional climate risks may threaten the stability of ASEAN's trade integration.
Keep exploring
Part of
El Niño's impact on Southeast Asian fires, drought, and typhoonsAlso in this story
- El Niño brings hot weather and reduced rainfall in Cambodia, prompting monitoring of crop impact by the Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology.
- El Niño is affecting the wider Asia-Pacific region, impacting the Philippines, and being monitored by the World Meteorological Organization.
The entities involved
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Vietnam
country in Southeast Asia
- El Nino
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China
cultural region, ancient civilization, and nation in East Asia; mostly refers to the People's Republic of China in political situation and rarely refers to the Republic of China
Related events
- Prolonged drought fueled by El Nino is affecting Malaysia.
- El Nino patterns are influencing weather systems in the Southeastern US region.
- El Nino could spark extreme weather globally, with specific mention of England.
- El Nino is bringing hotter, drier conditions to Malaysia, challenging local padi farmers.
- El Nino factor caused a rain shortfall in Dharashiv on October 30, 2026.