TD Cowen Report Highlights Bifurcation in P&C Insurance Market
What happened
TD Cowen released a P&C insurance preview report ahead of the third-quarter earnings season. The firm named Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. and Brown & Brown as top picks. The report noted that global property rates have declined 12% in the second quarter of 2026, while casualty rates remain costly.
Why it matters
The report outlines a bifurcating market where softening property pricing is linked to a record $800 billion in global reinsurance capital. Conversely, casualty rates are hardening in segments like commercial auto and excess liability due to social inflation and nuclear verdicts.
Who's involved
- TD CowenReleased the P&C insurance preview report
- Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.Named a top pick in the report
- Brown & BrownNamed a top pick in the report
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.Speculative
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. might adjust its revenue streams as the market bifurcates between softening property and hardening casualty risks.
- Brown & BrownSpeculative
Brown & Brown could see changes in client demand as they navigate the differing pricing pressures across property and casualty lines.
Keep exploring
The entities involved
-
TD Cowen
American investment bank
-
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
insurance brokerage and risk management services company
-
Brown & Brown
American insurance company