World Bank projects Oman growth amid GCC contraction due to Strait of Hormuz disruption
What happened
The World Bank released economic forecasts, projecting Oman's economy to grow by 3.1% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027. Conversely, the bank expects the broader GCC economy to contract by 4.3% in 2026. This contraction is attributed to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which disrupts hydrocarbon production and exports.
From muscatdaily.com
Why it matters
The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz imposes substantial costs on Gulf producers by restricting their ability to transport and sell hydrocarbons. Oman is cited as the only GCC economy expected to maintain robust growth, supported by its hydrocarbon output and non-oil activity outside the Strait of Hormuz.
From muscatdaily.com
Who's involved
- World BankInternational financial institution that released the economic forecasts.
- OmanSovereign state projected to maintain robust economic growth in 2026 and 2027.
- QatarCountry within the GCC economy expected to contract sharply.
- KuwaitSovereign state within the GCC economy expected to contract sharply.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- KuwaitSpeculative
Kuwait might face reduced revenue due to the overall GCC contraction.
- QatarSpeculative
Qatar could see reduced hydrocarbon exports due to the Strait of Hormuz disruption.
- Qatar Investment AuthoritySpeculative
Qatar Investment Authority might experience reduced state revenue due to sharp GDP contraction in Qatar.
- KazakhstanSpeculative
Kazakhstan could face disruptions to global oil supply and pricing due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.
Keep exploring
The entities involved
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World Bank
international financial institution
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Oman
sovereign state in western Asia
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Qatar
country in West Asia
Related events
- The Central Bank of Oman (CBO) has released its outlook regarding economic growth in the country.
- S&P Global Ratings raised its GDP growth forecast for Oman.
- Oman is increasing economic engagement with both Angola and Botswana.
- Traffic picks up via Oman's southern coast route as the IMF predicts Iran's economy will shrink 6.1% amid US pressure.
- Oman and Saudi Arabia are discussing the future of their fraternal relations, focusing on economic growth and trade exchanges led by the Crown Prince.