- The Middle Corridor is establishing itself as a vital geopolitical and economic link, connecting Central Asia to global markets via the Caspian Sea and Europe.
- New overland trade and multimodal routes are connecting China to Europe via Central Asia and the Caspian Sea region.
- The Afghan route to China is dependent on Beijing's border, while logistical reorientation affects Central Asia, with Iran as Afghanistan's top trading partner.
New China-Pakistan Route Bypasses Afghanistan Amid Trade Disruptions
- Reports
- 4
- Developments
- 3
- Repetition
- 25%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
Due to tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and conflict in Iran, existing trade links have been disrupted. Consequently, Pakistan and Central Asian states are promoting an overland route through China that bypasses both Afghanistan and Iran. This new corridor also extends the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor into Central Asia.
From cacianalyst.org
Why it matters
The new route provides an alternative for trade between Pakistan and Central Asia, mitigating risks posed by instability in Afghanistan and unreliable trans-Iranian routes. This expansion extends the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a key part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative, into Central Asia.
Afghanistan historically served as the most viable transit route for trade between Pakistan and the Central Asian Republics. However, recent escalating tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan have undermined the prospects for developing a Trans-Afghan trade corridor.
From cacianalyst.org
Who's involved
- PakistanPakistan, which is promoting the new overland trade route.
- AfghanistanAfghanistan, whose tensions are disrupting existing trade links.
- ChinaChina, which is providing the overland route and extending the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.
- Central AsiaCentral Asia, which is benefiting from the new secure trade corridor.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- Central AsiaSpeculative
Central Asia could improve supply chain reliability by accessing a secure trade corridor through China.
- AfghanistanSpeculative
Afghanistan might see reduced customs revenue and economic activity due to the suspension of main trade crossings.
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.Pakistan's trade policies closed routes, causing China to lose confidence and drawing Taliban criticism.1 source
New transit route connects Badakhshan to Kashgar amid Durand Line disputes.1 source
Tensions in Afghanistan and Iran disrupt trade, while CPEC expands into Central Asia.1 source
Keep exploring
Part of
The Afghan route to China is dependent on Beijing's border, while logistical reorientation affects Central Asia, with Iran as Afghanistan's top trading partner.Also in this story
- China is investing heavily in Belt and Road Initiative projects across the region, linking Balochistan and Afghanistan.
- China established an official transit corridor, leading to trade rerouting through the country, despite security issues.
The entities involved
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Islamabad
capital city of Pakistan
- Houthis, who are Iran-aligned, are firing missiles at Saudi Arabia while the conflict could disrupt Red Sea shipping routes, raising fears of wider geopolitical involvement including Pakistan.
- An MOU has been reached aiming to end the war in the region, alongside efforts to restore safe passage for commercial vessels in the Hormuz Strait.
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China
cultural region, ancient civilization, and nation in East Asia; mostly refers to the People's Republic of China in political situation and rarely refers to the Republic of China
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Afghanistan
country in Central and South Asia
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Central Asia
subregion of the Asian continent
Related events
- Trade and regional stability are impacted as border issues between Afghanistan and Pakistan disrupt commercial crossings.
- Afghanistan is seeking railway and transit links through Central Asia and Chabahar to connect with Europe and the Caucasus.
- Bilateral trade between Islamabad and Kabul reached nearly $2 billion in 2024–25.
- Diplomatic engagement between Afghanistan and Pakistan focused on trade, border issues, and regime recognition.
- Discussions are underway regarding strengthening economic and trade ties in Afghanistan.