- El Niño is causing widespread intense heat signals across Africa, South America, Europe, South Asia, and East Asia, monitored by the WMO and UN.
- El Nino is forecast to cause varied climate impacts across the Caribbean, Europe, Africa, Central America, South Asia, and South America.
WMO forecasts record-strength El Niño event peaking in late 2026
- Reports
- 32
- Developments
- 6
- Repetition
- 84%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
The World Meteorological Organization confirmed a strong El Niño wave for 2026, which is expected to be the strongest on record for this time of year. Celeste Saulo, chief of the World Meteorological Organization, warned that the event may be stronger than ever before. The climate pattern is forecast to peak by November or December and persist into early 2027.
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Why it matters
The climate pattern is expected to disrupt weather patterns worldwide, potentially causing trillions of dollars in damages globally. It is forecast to bring extreme heat, droughts, and floods across regions including Latin America, Eastern and Southern Africa, Asia, and the Pacific. These disruptions often impact agriculture, infrastructure, and supply chains.
El Niño is forecast to cause varied climate impacts across the Caribbean, Europe, Africa, Central America, South Asia, and South America. It is currently causing widespread intense heat signals across Africa, South America, Europe, South Asia, and East Asia.
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Who's involved
- World Meteorological OrganizationSpecialized agency of the United Nations for meteorology, monitoring the event.
- Celeste SauloArgentine meteorologist and chief executive of the World Meteorological Organization.
- United NationsGlobal international and intergovernmental organization under which the World Meteorological Organization operates.
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- MalawiSpeculative
Flooding risks in Southern Africa could strain local economy and increase disaster costs.
- agricultureSpeculative
Crop losses worldwide might increase market prices and disrupt supply chains.
- Southeast AsiaSpeculative
Agriculture in Southeast Asia might face supply chain disruption due to lack of rainfall.
- IndiaSpeculative
Agriculture in India might face supply chain disruption and increased risk due to unprecedented strength.
Possible ripples
Who this could reach next, traced step by step from the reporting. Possibilities worth considering, not forecasts.- Intensifying El Niño threatens global agriculture with extreme heat and droughtIntensifying El Niño threatens global agriculture with extreme heat, drought, and floodsLikely
- Intensifying El Niño may heighten drought risks for SudanIntensifying El Niño could increase drought and heat risks for SudanPossible
- Intensifying El Niño may strain Cambodia's agriculture and water resourcesIntensifying El Niño may strain Cambodia's agriculture and water resourcesPossible
- Intensifying El Niño may threaten Malawi's crop yields and water accessIntensifying El Niño may threaten Malawi's crop yields and water accessPossible
- Intensifying El Niño may bring severe flood and drought risks to KenyaKenya may face increased risks of floods, landslides, and infrastructure damagePossible
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.- WMO assesses a strong El Niño event, prompting Yangon, Myanmar, to prepare shelters for extreme heat.Sub-event
Saulo warns El Niño may be stronger than ever before.1 source
Saulo noted extreme El Niño intensity as flooding risks rise in Southern Africa.1 source
WMO forecasts El Niño will peak intensity by early 2027.1 source
WMO predicts El Niño will intensify further, with Celeste Saulo speaking in Geneva.1 source
WMO confirms El Niño certainty, adding a new layer to the ongoing situation.1 source
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The entities involved
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World Meteorological Organization
specialized agency of the United Nations for meteorology
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El Niño
Spanish rap artist
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Celeste Saulo
Argentine meteorologist
Related events
- WMO forecasts El Niño, prompting a response from the South African Treasury.
- El Niño is affecting the wider Asia-Pacific region, impacting the Philippines, and being monitored by the World Meteorological Organization.
- The International Meteorological Organization is the predecessor to the current World Meteorological Organization body.
- El Niño forecast predicts moisture alongside warm temperatures for Summit County.
- Researchers discuss climate change impacts and monitor glaciers in New Zealand, noting marine heatwaves occurred without El Niño.