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From Geothermal Power Costs Under Solar-Storage, Driven by Data Center Demand

How could the accelerating geothermal projects in the Western US affect Southwest Gas?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Geothermal's lower cost may challenge Southwest Gas's resource planning The accelerating geothermal projects have reached a pricing milestone, with average costs reported at $105.56 per megawatt-hour in NV Energy’s 2026 resource plan. This pricing allows geothermal to undercut competing solar-plus-storage proposals by roughly 7%. Because geothermal provides firm, baseload generation, this new economic and reliability profile makes it a compelling resource for long-term planning. As an investor-owned utility, Southwest Gas must consider this shift in resource viability when planning its own energy portfolio and competitive offerings.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Oct 24
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How it reaches Southwest Gas

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • Average geothermal costs are $105.56 per megawatt-hour in NV Energy’s 2026 resource plan.foreignpolicyjournal.com
  • Geothermal undercuts solar-plus-storage proposals by roughly 7%.foreignpolicyjournal.com
  • Geothermal delivers firm, baseload generation regardless of weather conditions.foreignpolicyjournal.com
  • For grid operators and utilities, the NV Energy data represents a compelling case that geothermal deserves a larger role in long-term resource planning.foreignpolicyjournal.com

Why it matters

For Southwest Gas, which operates as an investor-owned utility in the energy sector, the increasing viability of geothermal represents a structural challenge to its competitive position. As geothermal becomes a more economically attractive and reliable resource for grid planners, it introduces a powerful alternative that could influence market dynamics and long-term demand for traditional utility services.

This trend is part of a broader shift in energy planning driven by technological advances and federal tax incentives. Data centers, for example, have emerged as a major driver of renewed interest in geothermal due to their need for constant and dependable power supplies. This push for reliable, around-the-clock clean power is accelerating the development of geothermal capacity across the western United States.

What we don't know yet

  • How quickly will geothermal capacity translate its pricing competitiveness into sustained new capacity additions?
  • What specific regulatory support or financing conditions are needed for geothermal to scale up further?

What would change this answer

Geothermal project development timelines and permitting challenges are resolved quicklyThe effect on utilities like Southwest Gas could become stronger and more immediate as the resource becomes widely available.
Financing conditions for geothermal projects tighten significantlyThe expansion of geothermal capacity may slow, limiting the competitive pressure on established utilities.

Who else could feel it

Other possible ripples from the same event.

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.