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Part of President's bill mandates sweeping changes to federal student loans.

How could the new federal loan rules affect City University of New York?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Specific CUNY degree programs may face reduced federal loan eligibility The new Student Tuition and Transparency System and Earnings Accountability rule could potentially affect specific programs within the City University of New York system. The rule stipulates that programs failing a federal earnings test in two out of three consecutive years would lose eligibility for Federal Direct Loans. While some institutions, like Lehman College, are currently deemed safe due to local factors, the policy raises concerns about barriers to access for students pursuing lower-paying professions, which could impact the financial viability of certain degree programs within CUNY.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Oct 23
Effect
Mild negative
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When
Over the long term
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How it reaches City University of New York

Reported by news outletsBrind's reasoning

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • The Student Tuition and Transparency System and Earnings Accountability rule was finalized July 1 and will take effect July 1, 2027.riverdalepress.com
  • Programs that fail a federal earnings test in two out of three consecutive years would lose eligibility for Federal Direct Loans.riverdalepress.com
  • Undergraduate program outcomes will be measured against the median earnings of high school graduates.riverdalepress.com
  • Graduate program outcomes will be compared with the earnings of bachelor’s degree holders.riverdalepress.com

Why it matters

For City University of New York, the potential loss of federal loan access for specific programs could threaten the financial stability and accessibility of those degree paths. While CUNY is generally less dependent on federal borrowing than some private colleges, federal loans remain critical for many students covering tuition and other expenses.

The rule is designed by the administration to protect students and taxpayers from degrees with limited earning potential. However, higher education administrators warn that relying solely on earnings metrics raises questions about how the value of certain professions—such as social work, teaching, and the arts—should be measured.

What we don't know yet

  • Which specific programs within CUNY are most vulnerable to failing the federal earnings test?
  • How will the federal earnings test be adjusted for regional differences in living wages?

What would change this answer

The Department of Education adjusts the federal earnings benchmarksThe impact on CUNY programs could fade if the new benchmarks better reflect the median earnings of high school graduates in New York City.
A large number of CUNY programs fail the federal earnings testThe effect on CUNY's institutional revenue and student access could become strong and immediate.

Reporting

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.