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Part of The Ministry of Petroleum oversees the oil sector and revenue in South Sudan, which is affected by export route disruptions caused by the conflict in Sudan.

How will the attacks on oil pipelines carrying South Sudanese oil affect Sudan?

Pipeline attacks threaten Sudan's regional stability and relations The Sudan Founding Alliance accused Sudan's army of repeatedly attacking a pipeline carrying South Sudanese oil through South Kordofan. These attacks, which began around September 11, have led the Alliance to warn that targeting civilian infrastructure violates international humanitarian law. Furthermore, the Alliance stated that these actions could threaten relations between Sudan and South Sudan, increasing regional security risks.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Sunday
Effect
Mild negative
How direct
2 steps, all reported
When
Within weeks
The story
Gone quiet

How it reaches Sudan

Reported by news outlets

Tap any step to see the evidence behind it.

The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • The Sudan Founding Alliance accused Sudan’s army of repeatedly attacking a pipeline carrying South Sudanese oil through Sudan.radiotamazuj.org
  • The attacks took place since September 11, particularly north of Al Hamadi in South Kordofan.radiotamazuj.org
  • The attacks caused explosions and widespread fires.radiotamazuj.org
  • The Sudan Founding Alliance warned that attacks on civilian infrastructure could threaten relations between Sudan and South Sudan.radiotamazuj.org

Why it matters

Sudan is a critical regional player, and instability threatens its economic and diplomatic standing. The attacks on vital oil infrastructure, which is crucial for South Sudan's government revenue, escalate the internal conflict and pose a direct risk to Sudan's regional stability.

The conflict between Sudan's army and the Rapid Support Forces has been ongoing since April 2023, with intense fighting continuing in regions like Kordofan. The accusations of targeting civilian infrastructure raise serious international humanitarian law concerns regarding the conduct of the war.

What we don't know yet

  • Will international organizations condemn the attacks and intervene to prevent further incidents?
  • How will the attacks specifically impact diplomatic relations between Sudan and South Sudan?

What would change this answer

International organizations condemn the attacksThis would increase external pressure on Sudan's army, potentially escalating the conflict or forcing a change in military conduct.
The attacks cease immediatelyThe immediate threat to regional relations and security would likely fade, allowing diplomatic efforts to stabilize the situation.

Reporting

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. It explains possible effects; it is not investment advice.