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Part of Major powers including Russia, the US, and China are involved in the race to utilize private aerospace companies like Firefly for long-term lunar base development and resource extraction.

How could China and Russia's joint lunar base planning affect BRICS?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

China and Russia's lunar base plan strengthens BRICS' strategic alignment The joint planning between China and Russia for a lunar base and a nuclear power plant near the moon’s south pole reinforces the strategic cohesion of the BRICS bloc. This collaboration positions two major members in a high-stakes technological race, providing a unified, non-Western axis in the global space domain. This strategic alignment is particularly significant given the intense competition between the United States and China in the race to return astronauts to the moon.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Yesterday
Effect
Mild positive
How direct
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When
Over the long term
The story
Still developing

How it reaches BRICS

Reported by news outletsBrind's reasoning

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • China and Russia are jointly developing plans for a lunar base and a nuclear power plant near the moon’s south pole.foreignpolicyjournal.com
  • China aims to land astronauts on the moon by 2029, while NASA is targeting a crewed return by the end of 2028.foreignpolicyjournal.com

Why it matters

The ability of BRICS members to execute large-scale, high-tech projects like a lunar base is a measure of their collective geopolitical influence. By coordinating on such a project, China and Russia are signaling a unified, alternative power structure that challenges the dominance of Western space programs, such as those led by NASA.

This move occurs amid a highly competitive global space race, where the United States and China are separated by only months in their efforts to return astronauts to the moon. The partnership allows BRICS to solidify its position as a major player in global technological development, independent of traditional Western alliances.

What we don't know yet

  • Will other BRICS members join the lunar base planning or provide support?
  • How will the US respond to the increased strategic alignment of China and Russia in space?

What would change this answer

Other BRICS members announce participation in the lunar base projectThe effect on BRICS' strategic alignment would become stronger and more immediate, signaling a broader bloc consensus.
The US accelerates its own moon-base mission timeline significantlyThe urgency and strategic importance of the China-Russia partnership might be diluted by the increased pace of Western competition.

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.