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Part of ICC warns of mass atrocities in Sudan as conflict escalates between Hemedti and Al-Burhan, amid massive displacement reported by IRC.

How could the civil war in Sudan affect the World Food Programme?

Already happening What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

The civil war in Sudan severely restricts the World Food Programme's ability to deliver aid. The conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces has triggered one of the world's largest humanitarian crises, displacing more than 14 million people and leading to widespread hunger. The operational environment is severely compromised by military actions, including RSF checkpoints and SAF suspicion of convoys, which cause food to spoil and delay aid delivery. Furthermore, the use of drones by both sides targets civilian infrastructure and populated areas, disrupting access to essential services and putting aid supplies at risk, as demonstrated by a drone strike on a UNHCR relief truck carrying 50 tons of supplies.

Reported by 9 independent outlets Written Saturday
Effect
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The story
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How it reaches World Food Programme

Reported by news outlets

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • More than 14 million people are displaced due to the conflict in Sudan.riotimesonline.com
  • RSF checkpoints and the army’s suspicion of cross-line convoys leave trucks waiting, and food spoils at border points.riotimesonline.com
  • Drone strikes have repeatedly struck markets, schools, fuel stations, water infrastructure and civilian vehicles across Kordofan.cnn.com
  • A drone struck a truck belonging to the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) carrying 50 tons of relief supplies.cnn.com

Why it matters

The World Food Programme is critical for preventing mass starvation in Sudan, where the conflict has led to the world's largest hunger crisis. The ability of the WFP to operate is directly tied to the security and stability of routes and aid hubs, such as El-Obeid, which is currently under siege.

This crisis is not isolated; it is part of a wider regional instability involving neighboring countries like Chad and Ethiopia, which are dealing with massive refugee flows. The conflict's self-financing nature, relying on resources like Darfur’s gold, means that external pressure on the combatants has had limited effect, prolonging the humanitarian emergency.

What we don't know yet

  • Will a ceasefire be reached that allows for safer and more consistent aid delivery?
  • How will the increasing use of drones affect the ability of aid workers to navigate and operate in contested areas?

Is this still moving?

No new developments lately Reached 4 outlets in its first 24 hours
Reports
13
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8
Repetition
62%

What would change this answer

A major ceasefire is brokered between the SAF and RSF.Aid operations could become more predictable and safer, allowing the World Food Programme to increase the volume and consistency of food aid delivery.
The conflict intensifies and drone strikes become more frequent and targeted at civilian areas.Aid delivery will become even more perilous, potentially forcing the World Food Programme to reduce operations or abandon high-risk areas.

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.