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Part of A high-voltage cable is being established to link Central Asia and Europe, facilitating renewable energy exports.

How could the EIB's push for cross-border investment affect Uzbekistan?

Likely What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Uzbekistan could benefit from EIB funding for energy and water infrastructure. The European Investment Bank's interest in expanding cross-border investments in Central Asia supports major infrastructure projects, including the Kambar-Ata-1 hydropower plant. This plant is a joint development involving Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan, for which the EIB has already allocated €900 million for water management and energy grids. The project is expected to generate 5.6 billion kWh of electricity per year by 2035, while also regulating the seasonal flow of the Naryn River, providing a more stable and predictable water supply into the Syr Darya River, which flows through Uzbekistan.

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How it reaches Uzbekistan

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The facts so far

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  • The EIB allocated €900 million to Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, and Uzbekistan for water management projects and energy grids.euronews.com
  • The Kambar-Ata-1 plant is expected to generate 5.6 billion kWh of electricity per year.euronews.com
  • The plant is being built on the Naryn River, which merges with the Kara Darya River in Uzbekistan to form the Syr Darya River.euronews.com
  • The EIB opened a representative office in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, in June.euronews.com

Why it matters

The development of large-scale, cross-border infrastructure is critical for Central Asia's economic stability and energy security. For Uzbekistan, involvement in projects like Kambar-Ata-1 means securing vital water resources and contributing to regional energy stability, which is crucial given the region's reliance on shared river systems.

This effort aligns with the EIB's focus on 'win-win' situations, where financing supports both regional development and benefits the European economy or industry. The EIB's strategic presence in Tashkent underscores the geopolitical importance of Uzbekistan as a key player in the region's energy and transport corridors.

What we don't know yet

  • What specific environmental and social standards must future projects meet to secure EIB funding?
  • How will the EIB's expansion plans affect the timeline or scope of the Kambar-Ata-1 project?

What would change this answer

The EIB successfully secures new cross-country energy interconnectorsThis would significantly increase the potential for energy exports from Central Asia, boosting the economic viability of projects involving Uzbekistan.
The EIB prioritizes projects with high European contentUzbekistan may need to adjust its industrial development plans to ensure they align with European supply chain requirements to qualify for financing.

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.