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Part of Prabowo is driving Indonesia's national energy policy to achieve self-sufficiency and reduce reliance on imported energy products.

How could the national commitment to end deforestation affect Borneo?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

New food policy may reduce forest clearing pressure on Borneo The government's commitment, led by Hashim Djojohadikusumo, is to cease expanding food and biofuel production into forest areas and instead utilize degraded land. This national policy shift applies to regions like Central Kalimantan, which is part of Borneo. By prioritizing intensification on existing farmland and degraded land, the policy aims to reduce the operational pressure to clear new forest areas for rice and other crops, although the implementation of this shift remains unclear.

Reported by 2 independent outlets Written Oct 10
Effect
Mild negative
How direct
2 steps, 2 inferred by Brind
When
Over the long term
The story
Gone quiet

How it reaches Borneo

Reported by news outletsBrind's reasoning

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • Hashim Djojohadikusumo stated the government sees no further need to expand rice cultivation in forest areas.thejakartapost.com
  • The government plans to use over 12 million ha of degraded land for food production.thejakartapost.com
  • noted Central Kalimantan in the context of farmers struggling to grow rice on acidic peat soil and peat forest areas that had been cleared.thejakartapost.com
  • The South Papua National Strategic Project (PSN) has covered an area of 49,787 ha through land expansion and deforestation from 2024 to present.farmlandgrab.org

Why it matters

The commitment is significant because Indonesia has faced severe forest loss, with Auriga Nusantara estimating forest loss surged by 66 percent in 2025 to 433,751 ha. This loss has been linked to food and energy self-sufficiency programs, threatening local ecosystems and the livelihoods of indigenous communities who are often displaced by these large-scale projects.

This policy announcement represents an initial response to the struggles of Indigenous People affected by National Strategic Projects (PSN) in regions like South Papua. However, critics note that such commitments often exist only in theoretical discussions and require concrete action, such as revising regulations to remove food and energy projects from the PSN list, to be effective.

What we don't know yet

  • Will the government issue official policies to terminate existing PSN Food and Energy projects in South Papua and other parts of Indonesia?
  • How will the government ensure that the use of degraded land does not add pressure on forests and important ecosystems?

Is this still moving?

Gone quiet Reached 3 outlets in its first 24 hours
Reports
3
Developments
2
Repetition
33%

What would change this answer

The government issues a Presidential Decree to halt PSN Food and Energy projects in South Papua.This would signal a strong commitment to the policy, making the reduction of forest clearing pressure across Borneo and other regions more certain and immediate.
The government fails to clarify what the shift means for projects already under way in South Papua and Central Kalimantan.The policy's impact would remain uncertain, and existing deforestation activities could continue despite the national commitment.

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.