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Part of London is experiencing the worst planning delays for housing, prompting comparisons to the efficient planning processes in Manchester.

How could the viability review process in London affect Lendlease's development plans?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

London's viability review process may reduce profitability for major developers like Lendlease Jennie Daly, CEO of Taylor Wimpey, criticized the Greater London Authority's viability review process, stating that baseline viability is 'fundamentally broken' in London. This process allows councils and City Hall to review a development's finances at a later stage and require developers to increase affordable housing contributions if the project proves more profitable than initially forecast. This regulatory pressure, combined with rising construction costs, additional taxes, and new planning requirements, increases the risk and reduces the potential returns on large-scale projects in London, which could negatively impact Lendlease's financial outlook and development pipeline.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Oct 12
Effect
Strong negative
How direct
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When
Within months
The story
Gone quiet

How it reaches Lendlease

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • Jennie Daly stated that baseline viability is 'fundamentally broken' in London.aol.co.uk
  • The viability review process allows councils and City Hall to secure additional affordable housing contributions if returns exceed original expectations.aol.co.uk
  • Taylor Wimpey cited rising construction costs, additional taxes, and planning requirements as factors making development difficult.aol.co.uk
  • The requirement for new residential towers above 18 metres to have a second staircase was introduced following safety concerns after the Grenfell Tower tragedy.aol.co.uk

Why it matters

For large property developers like Lendlease, the financial viability of projects in London is paramount. If the regulatory environment consistently reduces potential returns or increases costs through mechanisms like the viability review, it directly threatens the economic model of large-scale housing development, potentially leading to project freezes or cancellations.

This criticism comes amid a deepening housing crisis in London, where the Mayor has been pushing for more homes. The debate highlights the tension between the need for rapid housing delivery and the financial constraints faced by developers due to complex planning rules and the increasing intervention of bodies like the Greater London Authority.

What we don't know yet

  • How will the Greater London Authority respond to the criticism regarding the viability review process?
  • Will other major housebuilders follow Taylor Wimpey's lead in reducing new schemes in London?

Is this still moving?

Gone quiet Reached 2 outlets in its first 24 hours
Reports
3
Developments
1
Repetition
67%

What would change this answer

The Greater London Authority modifies the viability review process to reduce the requirement for increased affordable housing contributions.This would likely ease financial pressure on developers, potentially increasing the viability of stalled projects and boosting confidence in the London market.
The government introduces further taxes or planning obligations on residential towers in London.This would intensify the financial challenges for developers, making the negative impact on profitability for companies like Lendlease more severe.

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.