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Part of Global trading firms, including Bunge and Cargill, are operating in the grain sector of Brazil, where exports depend on the Tapajos river system and are affected by government policy.

How could the lobbying against the EU Deforestation Regulation affect the Council of the European Union?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Lobbying efforts may reshape the EU's deforestation rules The lobbying campaign by firms like Cargill and Bunge targets the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), a major legislative attempt to tackle global forest loss. These firms met with senior European Commission officials to push for the postponement and weakening of the rules. Because the EUDR is a complex regulation that requires coordination across member states, any significant revisions or delays pushed by lobbyists must ultimately be addressed and endorsed by the Council of the European Union.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Oct 17
Effect
Mild negative
How direct
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When
Within months
The story
Gone quiet

How it reaches Council of the European Union

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • The EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) prohibits imports of commodities such as cattle, cocoa, coffee, oil palm, rubber, soya and wood from deforested land.aol.co.uk
  • Cargill and Bunge sought to influence the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) in more than 350 meetings.aol.co.uk
  • The law will come into effect in December.aol.co.uk
  • The original goal to rigorously trace the origin of commodities has been revised so much that some of its initial supporters claimed the policy has been in effect “dismantled”.aol.co.uk

Why it matters

The EUDR represents a major regulatory push by the European Union to enforce sustainable supply chains and combat global forest loss. For the Council of the European Union, which represents the member states' governments, the integrity and enforcement of this law are critical to the EU's environmental and trade policy goals.

If the lobbying succeeds in weakening or delaying the regulation, it could undermine the EU's global standing as a leader in environmental governance. Conversely, if the Council maintains the original strict standards despite pressure, it signals a strong commitment to its environmental objectives, potentially impacting trade relationships with countries that rely on commodity exports.

What we don't know yet

  • Will the Council of the European Union prioritize environmental objectives or trade concerns in its final regulatory stance?
  • How will the EUDR's implementation timeline be affected by the ongoing lobbying efforts?

Is this still moving?

Gone quiet Reached 2 outlets in its first 24 hours
Reports
2
Developments
1
Repetition
50%

What would change this answer

The Council of the European Union adopts a significantly watered-down version of the EUDR.This would confirm the effectiveness of the lobbying campaign and signal a shift in the EU's regulatory priorities.
The European Commission releases a detailed report on the lobbying activities related to the EUDR.This would increase transparency and potentially lead to stricter oversight of future policy decisions by the Council.

— Other considerations

Beyond this explainer

Questions worth asking

Ideas the web ties closely to this story that the explainer doesn't mention. These are prompts for your own research: Brind hasn't answered them.

  • About Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive

    How might the requirements of the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive interact with the tracing obligations of the EUDR?

  • About Digital Product Passport

    Since the EUDR requires rigorous tracing, how will the implementation of the Digital Product Passport affect the data collection burden on importers?

  • About Court of Justice

    If the Council of the European Union weakens the EUDR, could affected member states challenge those revisions before the Court of Justice?

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Who else could feel it

Other possible ripples from the same event.

Reporting

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The full eventCargill and Bunge Lobby European Commission Over Deforestation Rules Everything aboutCouncil of the European Union

Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.