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Part of Carr develops a housing and entertainment district while Rise Together Hawaii promotes housing affordability.

How could the proposed Rise bond mechanism affect Hawaii County's future revenue?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Hawaii County may lose future tax revenue under proposed infrastructure bonds The proposal to issue RISE bonds for infrastructure means that future tax revenue generated by developed projects could be used to pay off the bonds rather than going to the county. For example, while a county might receive $1,000 per year in property tax on a vacant parcel, a home built using RISE bonds could generate $4,000 per year. The reports state that the additional $3,000 would be allocated to pay off the bond, reducing the county's overall tax intake.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Oct 15
Effect
Mild negative
How direct
Stated in the reporting
When
Over the long term
The story
Gone quiet

How it reaches Hawaii County

Reported by news outlets

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • RISE bonds are proposed to fund infrastructure, which is paid back from future tax revenue from a project once it is developed.kitv.com
  • A county may get $1000/year in property tax on a vacant parcel of land.kitv.com
  • A home built with RISE bonds could generate $4,000/year in property tax.kitv.com
  • The additional $3,000 generated by the home would go to pay off the RISE bond.kitv.com

Why it matters

The adoption of the RISE bond mechanism represents a fundamental shift in how infrastructure costs are financed in Hawaii. For counties like Hawaii County, this means accepting a trade-off: potentially solving the pressing need for more housing by allowing developers to build, but in exchange for a reduction in the county's long-term property tax revenue.

This mechanism is being debated as a more equitable way to fund infrastructure, as opposed to government-funded bonds where every resident contributes. However, the financial risk is real, as noted by Tax Foundation Hawaii, where construction delays or cost overruns could leave counties and taxpayers on the hook for the principal and interest owed to bondholders.

What we don't know yet

  • What specific financial safeguards are in place to protect counties from cost overruns or construction delays?
  • How many counties are expected to participate in the RISE bond program?

What would change this answer

The state constitution is amended to approve the use of RISE bonds.The mechanism would become official, making the potential loss of future tax revenue for counties like Hawaii County a certainty.
The state legislature introduces alternative funding models for infrastructure.The need for RISE bonds would diminish, potentially mitigating the financial impact on county tax bases.

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  • About Monthly Mortgage Payment

    Given that construction delays or cost overruns could leave taxpayers on the hook for principal and interest, how might the RISE bond structure affect the monthly mortgage payments for new homeowners?

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.