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From Union Study Shows U.S. Share of Film and TV Budgets is Shrinking

How could the shift in studio spending trends affect the Motion Picture Association?

Likely What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Motion Picture Association may adjust strategy amid shrinking US production shares The study released by unions, including the Directors Guild of America and SAG-AFTRA, showed that while major studios are spending more overall, the share of that money staying in the United States is declining significantly. For instance, the U.S. share of film budgets among the top 25 highest-budget films fell from 74% to 34%. This trend is compounded by California raising its annual film and TV tax credit from $330 million to $750 million in 2025, a move designed to boost domestic production. As the trade organization representing these studios, the Motion Picture Association must now address this competitive landscape and the push for domestic spending.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Sunday
Effect
Strong negative
How direct
Stated in the reporting
When
Within weeks
The story
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How it reaches Motion Picture Association

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The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • The U.S. share of film budgets among the 25 highest-budget films each year fell from 74% to 34%.eurweb.com
  • California raised its annual film and TV tax credit from $330 million to $750 million in 2025.eurweb.com
  • California's program delivered $7.2 billion in direct production spending and nearly 38,000 cast and crew jobs in its first year.eurweb.com

Why it matters

The Motion Picture Association's primary function is to advocate for the financial health and operational stability of the major studios it represents. The data showing a sharp decline in domestic production shares directly challenges the studios' revenue streams and market presence within the United States.

This trend is occurring while states like California are actively increasing their financial incentives to pull production back. The MPA must now navigate a complex environment where global spending is up, but domestic market share is shrinking due to both international competition and aggressive state-level tax incentives.

What we don't know yet

  • Will the potential federal production incentive change the competitive balance between states?
  • How will the studios respond to the union data regarding the shrinking U.S. share of budgets?

What would change this answer

The federal production incentive becomes lawThe MPA's lobbying focus may shift from state-level incentives to coordinating with federal policy to maximize the combined credit.
Major studios announce a halt to international production movesThe MPA's immediate pressure to address the shrinking domestic share would ease, allowing them to focus on other industry issues.

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  • About Amptp

    How might the Alliance of Motion Picture Producers react to the decline in US production shares, especially given California's increased tax incentives?

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