Brind.
From Historical Analysis of Black Monday Market Crash and Index Returns

How could the historical performance of index funds affect Nasdaq?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Index fund popularity may increase trading volume on Nasdaq The S&P 500 total return index, which assumes dividend reinvestment, grew significantly over the following decades. Because Vanguard lists and trades its exchange-traded funds on the Nasdaq stock exchange, the sustained popularity and strong performance of these index funds could lead to increased demand and higher trading volume for the assets listed on the platform.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Oct 19
Effect
Mild positive
How direct
Brind's reasoning
When
Over the long term
The story
Gone quiet

How it reaches Nasdaq

Reported by news outletsBrind's reasoning

Tap any step to see the evidence behind it.

The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • The S&P 500 lost 20.5% on October 19, 1987, ending at 224.84.fool.com
  • A $10,000 investment in the total return index grew to around $776,000 by the October 14 close.fool.com
  • Vanguard started its first index fund in 1976.fool.com

Why it matters

For Nasdaq, the exchange's revenue and operational health are tied to trading volume and liquidity. As a major platform for listing ETFs, the sustained popularity of large, successful index funds—many of which are managed by Vanguard—is a key driver of its activity. Increased investor interest in passive investing, fueled by historical performance narratives, directly supports the exchange's business model.

This trend reflects the broader shift in investment strategy toward low-cost, diversified index funds, a movement Vanguard helped pioneer. While the reports focus on a historical event, the underlying principle—that long-term, low-cost investing yields strong results—continues to shape market behavior and the demand for the financial products listed on exchanges like Nasdaq.

What we don't know yet

  • Will the current market environment allow index funds to maintain the same level of sustained growth seen after Black Monday?
  • How will regulatory changes affect the trading volume of Vanguard's ETFs on Nasdaq?

What would change this answer

A major competitor increases its index fund offerings and market shareThe increased competition could dilute the specific demand for Vanguard's funds, potentially moderating the positive effect on Nasdaq's volume.
A significant global economic downturn occursA severe market contraction could reduce overall investor confidence, leading to decreased trading volume across all assets listed on Nasdaq.

Who else could feel it

Other possible ripples from the same event.

Reporting

Keep going

Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.