Office for Budget Responsibility.
an advisory non-departmental public body
- Reports this week
- 3
- Active events
- 1
- Connections
- 67
What's happening
Earlier this month
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Andy Burnham discusses the state of the UK economy, noting that fiscal inheritance from Rachel Reeves is problematic and that Britain relies heavily on bond markets, based on advice from the OBR.Well supported8 reports10 developments inside
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UK fiscal risk is being analyzed by Matthew Ryan and the OFR, coinciding with Bank of England rate hike speculation and rising bond yields driven by Middle East oil price surges.Some support3 reports
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Economic analysis of UK growth trends, citing ONS data and OBR forecasts, while noting the impact of the World Cup.Well supported3 reports
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Expert suggests the government may bring the pension age forward.Some support2 reports1 development inside
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Andy Burnham seeks to replace Keir Starmer as Prime Minister, with both figures advocating for radical change in Labour policy.Well supported128 reports7 developments inside
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UK debt crisis could require IMF bailout, with former Bank of England deputy governor warning of risk.Well supported5 reports
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Conflict pushed bond yields and energy prices up, and government borrowing overshot OBR projections.Well supported7 reports1 development inside
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Dame Hillier chairs the Treasury Committee.Some support1 report
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The government is seeking expert advice from the Office for Budget Responsibility regarding long-term forecasts on public finances and pension spending.Some support5 reports3 developments inside
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OBR forecasts a budget surplus by 2030, while Alan Milburn's review pressures government costs.Some support1 report
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The government is facing pressure regarding its fiscal policy as the Middle East conflict drives up borrowing costs and OBR downgrades are anticipated.Some support3 reports
One to three months ago
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TBI mirrors Institute for Fiscal Studies proposals regarding increases, which are informed by Office for Budget Responsibility spending forecasts.Some support2 reports1 development inside
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Expert bodies forecast the escalating costs of the UK State Pension's triple lock system, calling for replacement.Some support1 report
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The Office for Budget Responsibility estimates the financial impact of a new electric vehicle tax.Some support1 report
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Government is being pressured for urgent stamp duty reform in the South East, citing OBR estimates on the impact of high house prices.Some support1 report
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Declining birth rates in Europe are causing a 'pandemic of loneliness' and straining the foundation of public policies, with specific focus on England.Well supported3 reports4 developments inside
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Iran war escalations are causing oil price shocks that are impacting the UK government's fiscal headroom.Some support2 reports
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Concerns were raised regarding the long-term affordability and sustainability of the UK pension system.Well supported10 reports
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OBR assesses the impact of current spending on the overall health of public finances.Some support2 reports2 developments inside
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Fiscal watchdog tracks government borrowing and analysts advise on the UK economic outlook.Well supported9 reports1 development inside
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The Prime Minister has hinted at future tax policy changes, while government policies are being assessed for fiscal pressures by the Office for Budget Responsibility.Well supported4 reports4 developments inside
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Estimates show that proposed planning reforms will affect house prices.Some support1 report
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The Office for Budget Responsibility is advising on fiscal rules for a potential Prime Minister, with input from former investment bank personnel.Some support1 report1 development inside
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Robert Jenrick addressed UK public finances concerns during a meeting with top traders from Goldman Sachs.Some support1 report
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OFR estimates informed Andy Burnham's policy priorities shift, while Keir Starmer launched an ID scheme to counter Reform UK's rise.Some support6 reports1 development inside
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The government is relying on Office for Budget Responsibility projections for fiscal planning, with tax policy impacts like fiscal drag affecting pensioners.Well supported4 reports8 developments inside
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Differing views on UK economic trends emerge, with NIESR, OBR, and the Bank of England discussing inflation's effect on target rates.Some support4 reports
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Sadiq Khan leads calls from within the Labour Party for Britain to rejoin the EU, citing economic bodies like the OBR and Bank of England regarding Brexit's impact.Some support1 report
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While advising on policy, Steve Webb is utilizing OBR reports regarding pension policy changes, involving DWP and AJ Bell.Some support2 reports1 development inside
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The Department for Work and Pensions is seeking advice from the Office for Budget Responsibility regarding proposed increases to the state pension age.Some support2 reports
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ONS data revealed that UK borrowing exceeded OBR estimates, coinciding with John Healey's resignation from Starmer's government.Some support2 reports
Gone quiet
No new reports in 90+ days-
Think tanks like the Resolution Foundation are analyzing state pension spending issues, incorporating projections from the Office for Budget Responsibility and comments from financial firms like AJ Bell and Hargreaves Lansdown.Some support2 reports2 developments inside
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NFU Mutual and the Office for Budget Responsibility analyzed financial trends and tax impacts.Some support2 reports
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Warnings on unsustainable public finances, calls for deep welfare spending cuts, and proposals for free childcare were discussed.Some support1 report
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Westminster officials reviewed reports provided by the Office for Budget Responsibility.Some support1 report
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Andy Burnham pledged proportional representation to Labour's manifesto while facing scrutiny over spending commitments and tax rises.Some support2 reports
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The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) analyzed the impact of Brexit on the UK economy.Some support1 report1 development inside
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The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has assumed that productivity in the UK will decline if it does not remain a member of the EU.Some support2 reports
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Jonathan Haskel has been chosen to lead the Office for Budget Responsibility.Some support3 reports
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Truss's departure has led to the Office for Budget Responsibility becoming a major point of focus.Some support1 report
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The UK government reported a weakened conflict outlook and provided official data on borrowing and inflation.Well supported7 reports
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IHT receipts data is being used to inform future projections made by the Office for Budget Responsibility.Some support1 report
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British Airways CEO Sean Doyle discusses how OFR findings regarding UK duty targets suggest visitors may choose Japan or France instead of the UK.Some support3 reports
No events began in the chosen period. Widen it, or reset.
What's reaching Office for Budget Responsibility
Events traced to Office for Budget Responsibility, step by step, newest first- Proposed tax switch may require OBR to revise fiscal forecastsThe Office for Budget Responsibility may need to revise its national fiscal forecastsLikely
- Government tax plans may require OBR to update fiscal forecastsGovernment tax plans require OBR to provide independent fiscal forecastsPossible
- Middle East conflict may constrain OBR's independent fiscal forecastsRising borrowing costs and inflation may constrain the OBR's independent fiscal forecastsLikely
- IMF forecasts may constrain Office for Budget Responsibility's projectionsIMF forecasts could constrain the Office for Budget Responsibility's fiscal projectionsLikely
- New Chancellor John Healey must adhere to OBR's fiscal constraintsNew Chancellor John Healey will be constrained by OBR's independent fiscal forecastsLikely
- Tax pressure may force OBR to assess business rates reformOBR may be forced to assess the fiscal impact of business rates reformPossible
See all 18 explainers
- Household financial strain may influence OBR's fiscal forecastsHousehold financial strain may influence OBR's fiscal forecastsPossible
- OBR must analyze new fiscal targets from Autumn BudgetOBR must analyze new fiscal targets and spending plans from the Autumn BudgetAlready happening
- New online tax revenue may prompt OBR fiscal forecast revisionsThe new £1bn tax revenue stream could force the OBR to revise its fiscal forecasts.Likely
- BoE warning on public finances could tighten OBR's fiscal outlookOBR forecasts may face increased pressure due to BoE warnings on public financesLikely
- OBR may revise forecasts amid calls for wealth and windfall taxesOBR may need to revise fiscal forecasts due to proposed wealth and windfall taxesPossible
- Fuel duty freeze uncertainty may prompt OBR to update fiscal forecastsFuel duty freeze uncertainty may require OBR to adjust independent fiscal forecastsPossible
- Triple lock proposal may force OBR to revise fiscal forecastsOBR may need to revise fiscal forecasts following triple lock proposalPossible
- UK's public finance shortfall may constrain OBR's fiscal forecastsUK's public finance shortfall may constrain OBR's fiscal forecastsLikely
- Global turmoil and domestic policy clashes may constrain the accuracy of OBR's economic forecastsGlobal turmoil and domestic policy clashes may constrain the accuracy of OBR's economic forecasts.Possible
- State pension lock debate may require OBR forecast updatesOBR forecasts may need adjustment following state pension triple lock debatePossible
- Mass job cuts may force OBR to revise economic forecastsMass job cuts by major UK firms may force OBR to revise economic forecastsLikely
- Political clashes may force OBR to reassess fiscal forecastsPolitical uncertainty over budget policy may force OBR to reassess fiscal forecastsPossible
Around Office for Budget Responsibility this week
News at the entities that move Office for Budget Responsibility most-
Andy Burnham StructuralPolitical rivals, including Burnham and Reeves, debated tax policy and the funding of state quangos.Moves Office for Budget Responsibility
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Office for National Statistics StructuralFull Fact used ONS figures to contradict claims made by Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden.Moves Office for Budget Responsibility
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Middle East OperationalDKSH is expanding its business operations into the Middle East region.Moves Office for Budget Responsibility
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Bridget Phillipson OperationalITV conducted an undercover investigation into Reform UK, while Phillipson criticized Farage's leadership and Yusuf was noted as a Muslim in the party.Moves Office for Budget Responsibility
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government StructuralFeilding High School opposes recent curriculum changes mandated by the government.Moves Office for Budget Responsibility
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Department for Work and Pensions StructuralThe Department for Work and Pensions is paying housing benefit through Birmingham City Council.Moves Office for Budget Responsibility
Connections
The 40 strongest of 67, analyzed from the reporting. The bars show how strongly a change on one side reaches the other.-
Andy Burnham Structural
OBR provides independent fiscal constraints and forecasts that shape Burnham's policy commitments, while his decisions impact OBR's budget projections.
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John Healey Structural
OBR provides independent fiscal forecasts that constrain and inform John Healey's budget and spending plans.
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government Structural
The OBR provides independent fiscal forecasts and advice that the government utilizes for policy planning and assessment.
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Office for National Statistics Structural
ONS provides core statistical data that OBR uses to generate and challenge public finance forecasts.
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Rachel Reeves Structural
OBR provides independent fiscal forecasts and advice that guides and evaluates the economic policies and claims made by Rachel Reeves.
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Jonathan Haskel Structural
Jonathan Haskel has been appointed to the leadership role of the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Department for Work and Pensions Structural
The OBR formally advises on and scrutinizes DWP programs regarding public finance implications.
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Keir Starmer Operational
OBR provides independent economic forecasts and costings that directly inform and challenge Keir Starmer's political policy commitments.
Show all 40 connections
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10 Downing Street Structural
The Office for Budget Responsibility provides official fiscal forecasts that guide the UK government's financial planning.
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Ministry of Defence Structural
The MoD relies on OBR's independent economic modeling and data regarding fiscal viability, including pension cost projections.
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John Healey Structural
Healey's budget balancing function is structurally dependent on and involves the defense of OBR's economic projections.
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Jeremy Hunt Structural
A's policy formation is constrained by OBR's independent fiscal forecasts and targets.
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Europe Operational
The two entities share operational challenges related to labor shortages and aging populations, impacting their respective economic models.
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Federal Reserve Bank Structural
The relationship is a functional dependency where the central bank monitors and incorporates fiscal risk assessments produced by the OBR.
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Ifs Structural
OBR provides forecasts and input data that informs and affects IFS's analytical processes.
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TBI Operational
TBI bases its proposals on the spending forecasts published by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Middle East Operational
The Office for Budget Responsibility incorporates geopolitical conflicts and disruptions from the Middle East into its economic forecasts and growth models.
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U.K. Structural
The Office for Budget Responsibility serves as the independent fiscal watchdog evaluating the budgetary and spending plans of the U.K. government.
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Westminster Structural
OBR provides economic forecasts that Westminster officials use to inform UK public finance and budgetary decisions.
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British Chambers of Commerce Operational
The British Chambers of Commerce bases its policy calls on the cost forecasts produced by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Tony Blair Institute Operational
Both entities are actively involved in the policy debate, warning against the unsustainability of the triple lock mechanism.
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Cabinet Office Structural
The Cabinet Office receives cost estimates and fiscal analysis from the Office for Budget Responsibility for government programs.
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Paul Nowak Operational
A's affiliated body, TUC, calls for OBR review due to investment concerns.
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Bridget Phillipson Operational
Bridget Phillipson proposes policy initiatives, which are analyzed by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Resolution Foundation Mentioned together
Both organizations are noted for analyzing and comparing fiscal projections, particularly regarding State Pension spending.
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KPMG Mentioned together
Both KPMG and the OBR are cited together for assessing fiscal headroom due to economic pressures.
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England Mentioned together
The Office for Budget Responsibility tracks and forecasts key economic indicators, such as council tax and IHT receipts, relevant to England.
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Liberal Democrats Mentioned together
The Office for Budget Responsibility issues warnings regarding pension costs and national debt, which are matters of political debate relevant to the Liberal Democrats.
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Emma Reynolds Operational
Emma Reynolds' work is referenced against the fiscal rules established by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Hargreaves Lansdown Mentioned together
A references B's fiscal forecasts when issuing warnings about the national budget.
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Institute for Fiscal Studies Mentioned together
Both institutions are cited as key advisory bodies regarding UK government fiscal policy.
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Bank of England Mentioned together
Both institutions are cited together for their analysis of Britain's public debt risks and fiscal tightening needs.
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AJ Bell Mentioned together
AJ Bell provides commentary regarding the spending projections released by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Alan Milburn Operational
Alan Milburn's review exerts pressure on government costs, interacting with the OBR's budgetary scrutiny.
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Robert Jenrick Structural
Jenrick engages with and addresses the economic forecasts and budget concerns monitored by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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NFU Mutual Mentioned together
Both entities are mentioned in the context of analyzing financial trends and tax impacts.
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Louise Haigh Operational
Louise Haigh has publicly criticized the economic outlook and constraints presented by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
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Helen Miller Operational
Helen Miller, director of IFS, provides independent fiscal commentary on the Budget, which is a key area of OBR's oversight.
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Liz Truss Operational
Truss's political status and departure caused the OBR to focus intensely on her issues.
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Jim Ratcliffe Shared context
Ratcliffe commented on the fiscal data and tax burden findings produced by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
History
Events by the month they beganSeptember 2026
14 events- Financial pressures mount on the UK government as the Bank of England, Office for Budget Responsibility, and Debt Management Office grapple with bond market issues and fiscal sustainability.
- UK fiscal risk is being analyzed by Matthew Ryan and the OFR, coinciding with Bank of England rate hike speculation and rising bond yields driven by Middle East oil price surges.
- Economic analysis of UK growth trends, citing ONS data and OBR forecasts, while noting the impact of the World Cup.
- Conflict pushed bond yields and energy prices up, and government borrowing overshot OBR projections.
- Dame Hillier chairs the Treasury Committee.
- OBR forecasts a budget surplus by 2030, while Alan Milburn's review pressures government costs.
- The government is facing pressure regarding its fiscal policy as the Middle East conflict drives up borrowing costs and OBR downgrades are anticipated.
- Expert bodies forecast the escalating costs of the UK State Pension's triple lock system, calling for replacement.
- The Office for Budget Responsibility estimates the financial impact of a new electric vehicle tax.
- Government is being pressured for urgent stamp duty reform in the South East, citing OBR estimates on the impact of high house prices.
- Iran war escalations are causing oil price shocks that are impacting the UK government's fiscal headroom.
- OBR assesses the impact of current spending on the overall health of public finances.
- Estimates show that proposed planning reforms will affect house prices.
- Robert Jenrick addressed UK public finances concerns during a meeting with top traders from Goldman Sachs.
August 2026
2 eventsJuly 2026
11 events- UK debt crisis could require IMF bailout, with former Bank of England deputy governor warning of risk.
- The Prime Minister has hinted at future tax policy changes, while government policies are being assessed for fiscal pressures by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
- OFR estimates informed Andy Burnham's policy priorities shift, while Keir Starmer launched an ID scheme to counter Reform UK's rise.
- Differing views on UK economic trends emerge, with NIESR, OBR, and the Bank of England discussing inflation's effect on target rates.
- Sadiq Khan leads calls from within the Labour Party for Britain to rejoin the EU, citing economic bodies like the OBR and Bank of England regarding Brexit's impact.
- While advising on policy, Steve Webb is utilizing OBR reports regarding pension policy changes, involving DWP and AJ Bell.
- The Department for Work and Pensions is seeking advice from the Office for Budget Responsibility regarding proposed increases to the state pension age.
- ONS data revealed that UK borrowing exceeded OBR estimates, coinciding with John Healey's resignation from Starmer's government.
- Warnings on unsustainable public finances, calls for deep welfare spending cuts, and proposals for free childcare were discussed.
- Westminster officials reviewed reports provided by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
- Andy Burnham pledged proportional representation to Labour's manifesto while facing scrutiny over spending commitments and tax rises.
Show 1 earlier month
June 2026
17 events- Andy Burnham discusses the state of the UK economy, noting that fiscal inheritance from Rachel Reeves is problematic and that Britain relies heavily on bond markets, based on advice from the OBR.
- Expert suggests the government may bring the pension age forward.
- Andy Burnham seeks to replace Keir Starmer as Prime Minister, with both figures advocating for radical change in Labour policy.
- Declining birth rates in Europe are causing a 'pandemic of loneliness' and straining the foundation of public policies, with specific focus on England.
- Concerns were raised regarding the long-term affordability and sustainability of the UK pension system.
- Fiscal watchdog tracks government borrowing and analysts advise on the UK economic outlook.
- The Office for Budget Responsibility is advising on fiscal rules for a potential Prime Minister, with input from former investment bank personnel.
- The government is relying on Office for Budget Responsibility projections for fiscal planning, with tax policy impacts like fiscal drag affecting pensioners.
- Think tanks like the Resolution Foundation are analyzing state pension spending issues, incorporating projections from the Office for Budget Responsibility and comments from financial firms like AJ Bell and Hargreaves Lansdown.
- NFU Mutual and the Office for Budget Responsibility analyzed financial trends and tax impacts.
- The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) analyzed the impact of Brexit on the UK economy.
- The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has assumed that productivity in the UK will decline if it does not remain a member of the EU.
- Jonathan Haskel has been chosen to lead the Office for Budget Responsibility.
- Truss's departure has led to the Office for Budget Responsibility becoming a major point of focus.
- The UK government reported a weakened conflict outlook and provided official data on borrowing and inflation.
- IHT receipts data is being used to inform future projections made by the Office for Budget Responsibility.
- British Airways CEO Sean Doyle discusses how OFR findings regarding UK duty targets suggest visitors may choose Japan or France instead of the UK.