Polymarket.
online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine
- Reports this week
- 3
- Active events
- 2
- Connections
- 175
What's happening
Active this week
Earlier this month
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Prediction markets are tracking outcomes of Senate races in Minnesota, Kansas, and Nebraska, amid regulatory debate.Some support1 report
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Israel's election laws dictate how poll publication is managed during the election process.Some support1 report
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Prediction market data, particularly from election forecasting, is gaining influence and being incorporated into financial media.Well supported3 reports
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Insider trading allegations have surfaced regarding Google employees who reportedly used company confidential data for bets.Well supported26 reports1 development inside
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Polymarket gained federal license to reopen to U.S. investors and secured $300M in investment backing.Some support2 reports
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Polymarket and Kalshi began hosting prediction markets specifically designed for institutional trading.Some support2 reports1 development inside
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Polymarket and Kalshi are engaged in market rivalry and seeking federal approval to offer margin trading options.Some support1 report
One to three months ago
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Visa pressured Checkout.com regarding suspicious activity related to Polymarket card payments.Some support1 report
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Police are investigating illegal gambling platform operations, while regulators launch a pilot for new market infrastructure.Some support1 report
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Traders are using prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket to bet on and track Bitcoin price outcomes.Some support2 reports
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ICE announced a strategic investment in Polymarket and will become a global distributor of its event-driven data.Well supported35 reports1 development inside
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Rob Eskridge, who has served in various capacities including government relations for Polymarket, has a background that connects the company to the regulatory landscape of Ohio and his former role as AG.Some support1 report
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ESMA issued a warning regarding insider trading activities within prediction markets.Some support1 report
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Prediction market Polymarket faces court action, inquiries into digital asset sales, and cease orders involving entities in Nevada, Florida, and Connecticut.Some support1 report
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U.S. traders were observed using the Polymarket platform despite its existing ban.Some support1 report1 development inside
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FCA enforces a ban on prediction markets in the U.K., specifically targeting Polymarket, a site used by UK consumers.Some support1 report
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Polymarket is offering contracts covering Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Reuters reporting on global trading volume.Some support1 report
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The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating event contracts under swaps law.Some support1 report
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Iowa Electronic Markets gave rise to Polymarket.Some support1 report
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Regulators are struggling with fraud involving betting on the ousting of the president and trading stocks influenced by political power.Well supported4 reports1 development inside
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Senators are urging platforms to reevaluate influencer use due to concerns over wagers on government actions involving Polymarket and political outcomes.Some support1 report
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New York City opened a probe into leading venues, including Polymarket, on August 1, 2026.Some support1 report
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Nevada and New Jersey face market regulation challenges, while Trump Jr. advises Polymarket, whose regulatory actions may reach the Supreme Court.Some support1 report
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Major prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are under scrutiny as a Commission advises on election betting restrictions.Well supported6 reports2 developments inside
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Polymarket hosted a record World Cup wager, demonstrating its prediction market format using a Squirtle market.Some support1 report
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Bets focused on Iran-related contracts on Polymarket, leading to an investigation into potential insider trading regarding the market's statistical impossibility claims.Some support1 report1 development inside
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Shin Bet investigates misuse of classified information on Polymarket, which is betting on military operations in Yemen and Iran.Some support1 report
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Citadel bought Aschenbrenner's soured stock portfolio, which used Nvidia stock as a proxy for an AI bubble contract, monitored by Polymarket.Some support2 reports
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Polymarket is under federal oversight and investigation regarding alleged misleading marketing practices, with monitors appointed.Some support1 report
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Allegations of unlicensed gambling operations linked to prediction market platforms involving Coinbase and political figures.Well supported3 reports4 developments inside
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Pew Research Center analyzed market popularity and scrutiny involving Polymarket.Some support2 reports
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Major prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are under scrutiny as a Commission advises on election betting restrictions.Some support1 report1 development inside
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Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan confirms Polymarket's operational status and recent funding from Intercontinental Exchange (ICX).Some support1 report
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Polymarket launched a regulated U.S. exchange and secured investment from Intercontinental Exchange.Some support3 reports
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Goldman Sachs and Microsoft have updated their insider trading policies to cover prediction markets, filing the changes with the SEC, which may involve information related to OpenAI.Some support1 report
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Tom Lee highlights Ethereum as an AI downstream asset and ties its prospects to prediction market odds.Some support1 report1 development inside
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Under the shadow of the Clarity Act, insider trading concerns are causing market views to be affected, with analysts noting market odds are too low.Some support1 report
Gone quiet
No new reports in 90+ days-
Polymarket is tracking market risks, including Beyond Meat's earnings miss, survival odds for JetBlue, and bankruptcy risk for Xerox.Some support1 report
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Partnership pitches are underway for market presence involving Polymarket, CNBC, CNN, Coinbase, and Major League Baseball.Some support3 reports
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Dan Lee has been appointed to head U.S. operations at the prediction market platform Polymarket.Some support13 reports
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Chicago leaders propose an ordinance to regulate insider betting markets, targeting market use.Some support2 reports
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Polymarket hosted a market about Ukraine's president, while Strategy sold Bitcoin to fund dividends, and Shayne Coplan was named in a lawsuit.Some support1 report
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Corporate earnings reports and market sentiment tracking are influencing expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.Well supported3 reports
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With Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader, traders wagered on Iran's political events on Polymarket, while George Santos used the market for insider trading related to Donald Trump's events.Some support6 reports
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Meta is developing a prediction markets app called Arena, following competitors like Snap.Well supported6 reports1 development inside
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Updates detail the prediction market ecosystem, including Polymarket's leadership changes, Citadel Securities' market making role, and Coinbase's platform development.Some support1 report
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Markets are covering the Iran conflict and US elections/politics on Polymarket.Some support2 reports
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Polymarket data is now tracking and recording user losses incurred while betting on the platform.Some support1 report
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Polymarket leader William LeGate confirmed that victim funds were involved in a swap into Ethereum.Some support2 reports1 development inside
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A large-scale phishing attempt was reported by TechCrunch, resulting in attackers siphoning funds to Ethereum.Some support1 report
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DeFi exploits are increasing systemic risk exposure across the sector, involving Polymarket and Aztec.Some support1 report
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Polymarket leapfrogged DraftKings, and the FTC could pursue fraud allegations regarding the betting platforms.Some support1 report1 development inside
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Polymarket, Kalshi, and DraftKings are now recognized as dominant players in the competitive prediction market sector.Some support1 report
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The FTC may investigate market fraud allegations involving prediction markets like Polymarket and DraftKings, where bets were placed on Donald Trump's statements.Some support2 reports
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Meta, led by Zuckerberg, is launching a new prediction market application.Well supported3 reports
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Polymarket offered contracts based on Donald Trump's public statements.Some support2 reports
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WSJ investigation reveals staged wins on Polymarket, a market that tracks Donald Trump's statements, with trades settling on Polygon blockchain.Some support1 report
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Polymarket, a prediction market platform founded by Shayne Coplan, tracked the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.Some support1 report
No events began in the chosen period. Widen it, or reset.
What's reaching Polymarket
Events traced to Polymarket, step by step, newest first- French political instability may influence Polymarket's viability marketsPolitical and economic uncertainty in France may influence Polymarket's viability markets.Possible
- Rate hike debate on CNBC may boost Polymarket activityPolymarket's prediction volume may increase amid high-profile rate hike debatePossible
- Fed minutes coverage may drive betting volume on PolymarketIncreased betting volume on Polymarket may follow detailed Fed minutes coveragePossible
Around Polymarket this week
News at the entities that move Polymarket most-
Minnesota StructuralA South African resident was charged with illegal voting in Minnesota.Moves Polymarket
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World Cup StructuralDavid Skaith is seeking ideas from New York to boost tourism, capitalizing on the positive buzz generated by the World Cup.Moves Polymarket
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Google TransactionalMemphis council debates data center development as Trump supports nationwide growth and Byron Donalds accepts donations from tech companies.Moves Polymarket
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Indonesia StructuralA bilateral agreement for vessel construction was signed on October 1, 2026, aligning with Prabowo Subianto's five-year term.Moves Polymarket
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Nevada TransactionalGeneral statements about several rural communities in Nevada and a call for Republican support of veterans' rights.Moves Polymarket
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CNBC OperationalCNBC and the International Air Transport Association are tracking trends related to disruptive passenger behavior.Moves Polymarket
Connections
The 40 strongest of 175, analyzed from the reporting. The bars show how strongly a change on one side reaches the other.-
Ontario Securities Commission Structural
The Ontario Securities Commission has formally regulated and banned Polymarket for infractions.
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Shayne Coplan Structural
Shayne Coplan founded and serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Polymarket.
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Checkout.com Structural
Polymarket relies on Checkout.com to process card payments for its deposits and withdrawals.
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CNBC Operational
CNBC and Polymarket maintain an active partnership where CNBC reports on Polymarket's milestones and market activities.
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Donald Trump Jr. Structural
Donald Trump Jr.'s venture firm provides investment capital and serves as an adviser to Polymarket.
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Intercontinental Exchange Structural
ICE holds a strategic partnership with Polymarket, acting as a major investor and global data distributor.
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CNN Operational
Polymarket and CNN maintain an active partnership where Polymarket supplies market content and pitches its presence on the news network.
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Andrew Clifford Structural
Andrew Clifford held a critical role at Polymarket which ended when he resigned due to fraud problems.
Show all 40 connections
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Brahma Transactional
Polymarket announced it was acquiring Brahma.
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Lee Structural
Lee holds a leadership role managing U.S. operations for Polymarket.
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New York Stock Exchange Structural
Polymarket's market offerings are functionally dependent on the outcomes generated by the New York Stock Exchange.
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New York Structural
Polymarket attempts to establish a business presence in New York, but its operations are actively challenged and regulated by the state.
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Rhode Island Transactional
Rhode Island initiated legal action against Polymarket regarding sports-betting law compliance.
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Minnesota Structural
Minnesota has enacted state laws banning or heavily regulating Polymarket's operations within the state.
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World Cup Structural
Polymarket's business model is structurally dependent on offering prediction markets based on World Cup outcomes.
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Ethereum Structural
Polymarket offers prediction market contracts whose odds and viability are directly tied to the prospects and activity within the Ethereum ecosystem.
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QCX Structural
Polymarket operates through QCX, which functions as a designated contract market essential for A's current operations.
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Donald Trump Operational
Polymarket's market contracts and valuation are directly tied to tracking and betting on Donald Trump's political statements and electoral outcomes.
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New York City Structural
Polymarket operates under the formal regulatory purview of New York City, which has initiated a probe into leading venues.
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New York City Council Structural
The New York City Council is investigating Polymarket's marketing practices, indicating regulatory oversight.
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Yemen Operational
Polymarket operates as a prediction market focused on the outcomes of military operations and political events in Yemen.
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Google Transactional
a deal or exchange
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Meta Operational
Meta is actively developing its competing 'Arena' platform, directly mirroring the successful business model of prediction markets like Polymarket.
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Indonesia Structural
Indonesia has regulated and banned Polymarket due to online gambling laws and scrutiny.
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Major League Baseball Operational
Polymarket and Major League Baseball are engaged in a formal partnership to expand market presence and utilize market accuracy.
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Los Angeles County Operational
Polymarket hosts markets based on real-world events and issues specific to Los Angeles County.
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Marine Le Pen Operational
Polymarket hosts markets where bets on Marine Le Pen's political viability are priced, making her proposals inputs to the market model.
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George Santos Transactional
George Santos promoted and used Polymarket for trading, which resulted in the platform banning him for life.
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Federal Trade Commission Structural
The FTC possesses the authority to investigate Polymarket regarding potential market conduct, marketing, and fraud allegations.
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Iowa Structural
Polymarket was spawned from the Iowa Electronic Markets concept.
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Spain Structural
Spain is initiating proceedings against Polymarket due to unlicensed betting products.
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Congress Structural
Congress has formally investigated Polymarket, and Polymarket utilizes Congress's election outcomes for market tracking.
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Dome Transactional
The relationship is defined by a completed acquisition of Dome by Polymarket.
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Reuters Structural
Polymarket utilizes Reuters' platform for the official dissemination of its company statements and related data.
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Yashar Operational
Polymarket operates as a prediction market platform whose subjects include Yashar's electoral chances.
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Coinbase Operational
Coinbase is actively competing with Polymarket by developing its own prediction markets platform and tracking its market surge.
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Katie Hobbs Structural
Katie Hobbs issued an order restricting Polymarket's use of nonpublic information.
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William LeGate Structural
William LeGate serves as the head of the company Polymarket.
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Mark Warner Operational
The relationship is suspected to involve shared activity in paid influencer election disinformation campaigns.
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Nevada Transactional
Nevada initiated court action against the prediction market Polymarket.
History
Events by the month they beganOctober 2026
4 events- Prediction markets are pricing expectations for a Selic rate cut as Wall Street performance weighs on Brazil's stock market.
- Polymarket tracked election outcomes for Abiy Ahmed, with Chris Park analyzing the trading activity related to the election.
- Prediction markets are tracking outcomes of Senate races in Minnesota, Kansas, and Nebraska, amid regulatory debate.
- Israel's election laws dictate how poll publication is managed during the election process.
September 2026
8 events- Polymarket and Kalshi are engaged in market rivalry and seeking federal approval to offer margin trading options.
- Visa pressured Checkout.com regarding suspicious activity related to Polymarket card payments.
- Police are investigating illegal gambling platform operations, while regulators launch a pilot for new market infrastructure.
- Rob Eskridge, who has served in various capacities including government relations for Polymarket, has a background that connects the company to the regulatory landscape of Ohio and his former role as AG.
- ESMA issued a warning regarding insider trading activities within prediction markets.
- Prediction market Polymarket faces court action, inquiries into digital asset sales, and cease orders involving entities in Nevada, Florida, and Connecticut.
- FCA enforces a ban on prediction markets in the U.K., specifically targeting Polymarket, a site used by UK consumers.
- Polymarket is offering contracts covering Bitcoin and Ethereum, with Reuters reporting on global trading volume.
August 2026
15 events- Prediction market data, particularly from election forecasting, is gaining influence and being incorporated into financial media.
- Traders are using prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket to bet on and track Bitcoin price outcomes.
- The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating event contracts under swaps law.
- Iowa Electronic Markets gave rise to Polymarket.
- Senators are urging platforms to reevaluate influencer use due to concerns over wagers on government actions involving Polymarket and political outcomes.
- New York City opened a probe into leading venues, including Polymarket, on August 1, 2026.
- Nevada and New Jersey face market regulation challenges, while Trump Jr. advises Polymarket, whose regulatory actions may reach the Supreme Court.
- Polymarket hosted a record World Cup wager, demonstrating its prediction market format using a Squirtle market.
- Shin Bet investigates misuse of classified information on Polymarket, which is betting on military operations in Yemen and Iran.
- Citadel bought Aschenbrenner's soured stock portfolio, which used Nvidia stock as a proxy for an AI bubble contract, monitored by Polymarket.
- Polymarket is under federal oversight and investigation regarding alleged misleading marketing practices, with monitors appointed.
- Pew Research Center analyzed market popularity and scrutiny involving Polymarket.
- Major prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are under scrutiny as a Commission advises on election betting restrictions.
- Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan confirms Polymarket's operational status and recent funding from Intercontinental Exchange (ICX).
- Polymarket launched a regulated U.S. exchange and secured investment from Intercontinental Exchange.
Show 2 earlier months
July 2026
14 events- Polymarket gained federal license to reopen to U.S. investors and secured $300M in investment backing.
- U.S. traders were observed using the Polymarket platform despite its existing ban.
- Major prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi are under scrutiny as a Commission advises on election betting restrictions.
- Goldman Sachs and Microsoft have updated their insider trading policies to cover prediction markets, filing the changes with the SEC, which may involve information related to OpenAI.
- Tom Lee highlights Ethereum as an AI downstream asset and ties its prospects to prediction market odds.
- Under the shadow of the Clarity Act, insider trading concerns are causing market views to be affected, with analysts noting market odds are too low.
- Polymarket is tracking market risks, including Beyond Meat's earnings miss, survival odds for JetBlue, and bankruptcy risk for Xerox.
- Partnership pitches are underway for market presence involving Polymarket, CNBC, CNN, Coinbase, and Major League Baseball.
- Dan Lee has been appointed to head U.S. operations at the prediction market platform Polymarket.
- Chicago leaders propose an ordinance to regulate insider betting markets, targeting market use.
- Polymarket hosted a market about Ukraine's president, while Strategy sold Bitcoin to fund dividends, and Shayne Coplan was named in a lawsuit.
- Corporate earnings reports and market sentiment tracking are influencing expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.
- With Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader, traders wagered on Iran's political events on Polymarket, while George Santos used the market for insider trading related to Donald Trump's events.
- Updates detail the prediction market ecosystem, including Polymarket's leadership changes, Citadel Securities' market making role, and Coinbase's platform development.
June 2026
19 events- Insider trading allegations have surfaced regarding Google employees who reportedly used company confidential data for bets.
- Polymarket and Kalshi began hosting prediction markets specifically designed for institutional trading.
- ICE announced a strategic investment in Polymarket and will become a global distributor of its event-driven data.
- Regulators are struggling with fraud involving betting on the ousting of the president and trading stocks influenced by political power.
- Bets focused on Iran-related contracts on Polymarket, leading to an investigation into potential insider trading regarding the market's statistical impossibility claims.
- Allegations of unlicensed gambling operations linked to prediction market platforms involving Coinbase and political figures.
- Meta is developing a prediction markets app called Arena, following competitors like Snap.
- Markets are covering the Iran conflict and US elections/politics on Polymarket.
- Polymarket data is now tracking and recording user losses incurred while betting on the platform.
- Polymarket leader William LeGate confirmed that victim funds were involved in a swap into Ethereum.
- A large-scale phishing attempt was reported by TechCrunch, resulting in attackers siphoning funds to Ethereum.
- DeFi exploits are increasing systemic risk exposure across the sector, involving Polymarket and Aztec.
- Polymarket leapfrogged DraftKings, and the FTC could pursue fraud allegations regarding the betting platforms.
- Polymarket, Kalshi, and DraftKings are now recognized as dominant players in the competitive prediction market sector.
- The FTC may investigate market fraud allegations involving prediction markets like Polymarket and DraftKings, where bets were placed on Donald Trump's statements.
- Meta, led by Zuckerberg, is launching a new prediction market application.
- Polymarket offered contracts based on Donald Trump's public statements.
- WSJ investigation reveals staged wins on Polymarket, a market that tracks Donald Trump's statements, with trades settling on Polygon blockchain.
- Polymarket, a prediction market platform founded by Shayne Coplan, tracked the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.