Media Outlets Partner with Prediction Markets for Election Coverage
- Reports
- 3
- Developments
- 2
- Repetition
- 33%
New informationRepeats or wire copies
What happened
News organizations, including CNN, CNBC, and Fox News, have partnered with prediction market companies like Polymarket and Kalshi. These markets, which allow bettors to purchase contracts on election outcomes, have seen massive betting volumes, exceeding $1.4 billion by early October. This trend is providing a new source of revenue for media companies as traditional television advertising revenue declines.
From wgcu.org, spokesman.com
Why it matters
The growth of prediction markets challenges the relevance of traditional polling firms such as Gallup. For media companies, these partnerships offer a way to augment coverage and generate cash flow. However, the nascent industry is simultaneously facing legal challenges regarding illegal gambling and questions about media objectivity.
Prediction markets are offering betting opportunities on election outcomes using data from the Federal Election Commission.
From wgcu.org, spokesman.com
Who's involved
- CNNAmerican news channel partnering with prediction market companies
- CNBCAmerican business news channel partnering with prediction market operators
- PolymarketOnline prediction solicitation and aggregation engine partnering with news organizations
- Fox NewsAmerican cable television news channel partnering with prediction market companies
- CBS NewsNews division of CBS partnering with prediction market operators
- GallupAmerican analytics and advisory company whose polling data is being challenged
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- GallupSpeculative
Gallup might see its market share decrease as prediction markets challenge the relevance of traditional polling data.
- CNNSpeculative
CNN could see its revenue increase through direct partnerships with prediction market companies.
- CNBCSpeculative
CNBC might gain a new revenue stream from its partnerships with prediction market operators.
- PolymarketSpeculative
Polymarket could see its core business revenue increase through partnerships with news organizations.
- Fox NewsSpeculative
Fox News might increase its revenue through direct partnerships with prediction market companies.
- CBS NewsSpeculative
CBS News could see its revenue increase from new partnerships with prediction market operators.
Possible ripples
Who this could reach next, traced step by step from the reporting. Possibilities worth considering, not forecasts.- Polymarket leverages news partnerships for new revenue streamPolymarket gains new revenue stream through major news partnershipsAlready happening
- CBS News may use prediction markets for new revenueCBS News may gain new revenue streams through prediction market partnerships.Likely
- CBS Studios may gain revenue from prediction market sponsorshipsCBS Studios may gain new revenue from prediction market partnershipsLikely
- Prediction market use in news raises regulatory risk for FCCRegulatory risk increases for prediction markets due to illegal gambling claims.Possible
- Skydance Media may face risks from CNN's prediction market partnershipsSkydance Media may face financial and reputational risks from CNN's prediction market dealsPossible
How it developed
Newest first. Tap a step to see who reported it.Networks partnered with prediction markets; Goldstein studied market accuracy vs polls.1 source
Major news outlets engaged with election prediction markets and discussed media trust.1 source
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The entities involved
Related events
- Media scrutiny of political claims involving Reuters, Fox Network, and CNN.
- News organizations, including CNN and CBS News, participated in a voter poll survey, while Reuters reported on Fox News's independent race calling.
- Media organizations challenged White House press access following restrictions on outlets like CNN, Politico, and MS NOW.
- The corporate drama surrounding the acquisition of CNN and CBS News is ongoing, with states seeking settlements and operational changes being proposed.
- Networks, including CNN and CBS News, are increasing their coverage efforts to attract audiences.