Brazilian Market Jumps Amid Political Shift and Petrobras Policy Talk
What happened
The EWZ Brazil ETF rose 13.67% following the right-wing presidential candidate winning the first round of voting in Brazil. Jair Bolsonaro is campaigning on a capitalist and nationalist platform that includes improving management at state-owned companies like Petrobras. This campaign also promises to cut taxes, slash government spending, and lower interest rates.
From dailyreckoning.com
Why it matters
The intense political rivalry between Jair Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva suggests a potential shift in government policy. Bolsonaro's platform, which favors deregulation and reduced state spending, could influence the operational goals of Petrobras and other state-owned enterprises.
From dailyreckoning.com
Who's involved
- PetrobrasBrazilian multinational oil and gas corporation subject to policy influence
- Jair BolsonaroFormer president campaigning on a capitalist platform
- Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaCurrent president whose socialist platform is challenged by the political shift
Who could feel it
Possible knock-on effectsThese are possibilities Brind reasoned out, not predictions, and not advice. Most are not stated in any report.
- BraskemSpeculative
Braskem could benefit from improved management at state-owned companies, potentially stabilizing its ownership stake.
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The entities involved
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Petrobras
Brazilian multinational oil and gas corporation
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Jair Bolsonaro
38th President of the Federative Republic of Brazil (2019–2023)
Related events
- Flávio Bolsonaro accuses the Lula government of using Petrobras for electioneering during the presidential contest.
- Congress promulgated a constitutional amendment, setting the fiscal and trade course of Brazil amid the presidential contest.
- Perry Bacon hosted a program discussing Brazilian politics, featuring Jair and Flávio Bolsonaro.
- Jair Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are main presidential candidates in Brazil.
- Brazilian politicians Flávio Bolsonaro, Jair Bolsonaro, and Lula da Silva are noted to have connections and consulates in the U.S.