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Part of The National Weather Service has issued warnings for Northern California, including the Malibu area.

How could the coastal flooding risks affect the Pacific Coast Highway?

Possible What happens if… A possibility worth considering, not a forecast.

Coastal flooding and erosion could threaten the Pacific Coast Highway infrastructure. The combination of Hurricane Rachel and an El Niño-fueled Kelvin wave is increasing the risk of significant coastal flooding and beach erosion along the Southern California coastline. This threat is heightened by expected high tides, which are forecast to be 1 foot to 1.5 feet above normal. Because the Pacific Coast Highway is known to be physically impacted by these environmental threats, the severe coastal conditions could lead to damage to the infrastructure.

Reported by 1 independent outlet Written Sunday
Effect
Mild negative
How direct
2 steps, all reported
When
Within weeks
The story
No new developments lately

How it reaches Pacific Coast Highway

Reported by news outlets

Tap any step to see the evidence behind it.

The facts so far

As reported. Each one links to where it comes from.

  • The Kelvin wave can raise sea levels by 6 to 12 inches.latimes.com
  • Tides in Southern California are expected to be 1 foot to 1.5 feet above what would ordinarily be expected.latimes.com
  • Gusty conditions ahead Sunday are expected to be the windiest day, with widespread south-to-west winds between 20 to 35 mph gusts.latimes.com
  • There is a 70% to 90% chance that rain will fall at some point between Saturday and Tuesday in L.A. and Ventura counties.latimes.com

Why it matters

The Pacific Coast Highway is a vital piece of infrastructure for Southern California, serving as a major transitway. Any physical damage resulting from coastal flooding or erosion could disrupt regional travel and commerce, requiring costly repairs and potentially leading to closures.

This event is part of a larger pattern driven by an unusually active, El Niño-fueled hurricane season. Scientists note that the rise in sea levels due to human-caused climate change, combined with these powerful climate patterns, is increasing the overall vulnerability of California's coastline to destructive conditions.

What we don't know yet

  • How will the final track and intensity of Hurricane Rachel affect the severity of the coastal flooding?
  • What specific sections of the Pacific Coast Highway are most vulnerable to erosion and flooding?

What would change this answer

The Kelvin wave passes through the region with greater intensity than forecastThe risk of coastal flooding and the resulting damage to the Pacific Coast Highway would increase significantly.
The storm system interacts with low-pressure systems and weakens rapidlyThe likelihood of severe coastal flooding and high winds impacting the Pacific Coast Highway would decrease.

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  • About Storm Surge

    How does the expected storm surge, combined with the high tides and Kelvin wave, specifically increase the risk of damage to the Pacific Coast Highway infrastructure?

    Explore Storm Surge

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Brind's analysis is written by AI from the reporting linked above and can be wrong. This explainer is a possibility worth considering, not a forecast: steps marked as Brind's reasoning are not stated in the reporting. It is not investment advice; do your own research.